<p>Will Jon Hamm win an Emmy for &quot;The Gypsy and the Hobo&quot;&nbsp;episode of &quot;Mad Men&quot;?</p>

Will Jon Hamm win an Emmy for "The Gypsy and the Hobo" episode of "Mad Men"?

Credit: AMC

Firewall & Iceberg Podcast, episode 32: Emmys, Emmys and more Emmys

Dan and Alan debate their picks for who should and will win


As sorta-promised on Monday's podcast, you get a bonus Firewall & Iceberg Podcast this week, kids, as Dan and I discuss our predictions for Sunday night's Emmys.

Of course, if you read the site, you've seen my comedy and drama picks over the last two days, and Dan posted his own picks late last night, but as Dan notes at the start of the show, you haven't heard our voices as we discuss them! Plus, I hear people like it when Dan and I disagree, which we do at different points here.

No segment by segment time breakdown for this one, since it's all one big topic, but know that we start with the supporting actor categories and work our way up.

As always, you can subscribe to The Firewall & Iceberg Podcast over at the iTunes Store, where you can also rate us and comment on us. Or you can always follow our RSS Feed, download the MP3 file or stream it on Dan's blog. And if you have questions for an upcoming show, you can reach us at sepinwall@hitfix.com or dan@hitfix.com

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<p>Jesse (Coby Bell)&nbsp;and Michael (Jeffrey Donovan) had a showdown on &quot;Burn Notice.&quot;</p>

Jesse (Coby Bell) and Michael (Jeffrey Donovan) had a showdown on "Burn Notice."

Credit: USA

'Burn Notice' - 'Guilty as Charged': We all live in a black submarine

The summer season comes to a muddled end

A quick review of the "Burn Notice" summer finale coming up just as soon as I sign for your submersible...

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<p>Larry David deserves some Emmy love for the &quot;Seinfeld&quot;&nbsp;reunion season on &quot;Curb Your Enthusiasm.&quot;</p>

Larry David deserves some Emmy love for the "Seinfeld" reunion season on "Curb Your Enthusiasm."

Credit: HBO

Emmy predictions: Will comedy voters crown 'Glee' or 'Modern Family'?

And which past winner will be named best comedy actress?

Yesterday, I offered my predictions for the Emmy drama categories. Today, it's the comedies' turn. (And in between, Fienberg offered up his own picks. Later today, we'll be posting a podcast where we discuss all of this.)

As I explained yesterday, I'm not good at predicting this stuff, and you need to factor in that all the awards are voted on based on a single episode (for the acting/writing/directing categories) or on a handful of episodes (for the series categories), which only complicates things more. When predicting who will win, you can't just ask who was the best over the whole season. You have to look at who picked the right episode and who didn't. (You can see the full list of actor submissions here.) 

After the jump, my comedy picks for who should and who will win: 

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<p>Timothy Dalton will be guest-starring on &quot;Chuck&quot;&nbsp;this season.</p>

Timothy Dalton will be guest-starring on "Chuck" this season.

Credit: Max Nash/AP

'Chuck' to bring in 007 Timothy Dalton this season

Ex-James Bond star will be involved in Linda Hamilton storyline

Bit of a slow news day around these parts as the TV business braces for Sunday's Emmys and the start of the fall season in a few weeks, but I'm always happy to get a piece of "Chuck" news when it happens.

We learned at Comic-Con that Schwartz, Fedak and company had hooked a big fish in Linda Hamilton to play Chuck and Ellie's mom, and now that storyline has added another '80s pop culture icon (of sorts): ex-James Bond actor Timothy Dalton.

Per NBC's release, Dalton "will be playing a mysterious stranger who has a history with Chuck's mom." This is also his first appearance on an American TV series since a 1979 episode of "Charlie's Angels," though he's done some British guest spots in between (most recently as a "Doctor Who" villain).

Dalton played Bond for only two movies - 1987's "The Living Daylights" and 1989's "Licence to Kill" - and was hamstrung both by some terrible scripts ("Licence to Kill" was a desperate attempt to turn the franchise into "Miami Vice," a few years after people had stopped caring about "Miami Vice") and by the perception that he was a consolation prize after Pierce Brosnan wasn't available. But though the movies were lousy, I always found Dalton to be an underrated Bond (in particular, he has some great moments in "The Living Daylights") and a fine actor all around, and it'll be very cool to have a genuine 007 be involved in an Operation Bartowski mission.

Dalton joins a "Chuck" season four guest star roster that also includes Hamilton, Dolph Lundgren, Olivia Munn, Old Spice pitchman Isaiah Mustafa and Stacy Keibler.

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<p>Bryan Cranston has two Emmys; will &quot;Breaking Bad&quot;&nbsp;co-star Aaron Paul join him on Sunday night?</p>

Bryan Cranston has two Emmys; will "Breaking Bad" co-star Aaron Paul join him on Sunday night?

Credit: AMC

Emmy predictions: Can any drama beat 'Mad Men'?

And who should/will win the crowded drama actor categories?

I will say this upfront: I don't care about the Emmys and I am terrible at predicting them.

The Emmys are voted on by people who work in television, and if there's one thing you learn quickly in covering this business, it's that the people who work in television don't actually watch a lot of television. which doesn't really make them the best arbiters of the best shows/performances/etc. of the year.(*) When the right show or person wins, I chalk it up to luck as much as anything half the time.

(*) On the other hand, I'm in no position to throw stones, since a chunk of this year's Television Critics Association Awards went in a direction I wouldn't have.

And speaking of luck, in all the years I played Emmy prognosticator at The Star-Ledger, I considered myself fortunate if I got half the picks right. (I'm still, for instance, waiting for Martin Sheen to get that Emmy I kept saying he would get for playing Jed Bartlet.)

Still, even if I find the Emmys silly, the TV business doesn't, so it's time once again to offer my picks on who I think will win the major categories in drama (today) and comedy (tomorrow), and who among the nominees I think should win.

One thing to keep in mind, as always: while fans of these shows may have watched most or all of the season's episodes, the Emmys themselves are based on a single submitted episode in the acting categories, and on a handful in the series categories. So an actor who was unremarkable for much of the season but great in one well-written showcase can have the advantage of a more consistent actor whose performance only seems great if you've seen it week after week. (You can see a list of all the actor submissions here.)

Again, this is what happens when the voters don't spend much time watching TV before awards season begins.

After the jump, my drama picks...

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<p>Stephen Root as the dentist on last night's &quot;Louie.&quot;</p>

Stephen Root as the dentist on last night's "Louie."

Credit: FX

'Louie' - 'Dentist/Tarese': Yes, he has no bananas

Stephen Root gives Louie some gas

I'm too busy this morning to give last night's "Louie" a full write-up, but that's probably for the best, as I felt this episode didn't work very well. Louis C.K. worked in various topics of varying degree of taboo - pedophilia, terrorism, racial stereotypes and (in a story with big "Seinfeld" echoes, plus a great little guest turn by Stephen Root) kinky dentists - but while there were some funny moments, neither story quite came together.

What did everybody else think?

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<p>Christopher Gorham in &quot;Covert Affairs.&quot;</p>

Christopher Gorham in "Covert Affairs."

Credit: USA

'Covert Affairs' - 'Communication Breakdown': Blind man's buff

Auggie gets the spotlight when an old flame comes to town

A quick review of tonight's "Covert Affairs" coming up just as soon as you rate this blog for enjoyment on a scale of 1 to 8...

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<p>Michael Jordan in uniform for his brief minor league baseball career.</p>

Michael Jordan in uniform for his brief minor league baseball career.

Credit: ESPN

Review: '30 for 30' returns with 'Jordan Rides the Bus'

Ron Shelton-directed film disappoints

It’s been more than 20 years since Ron Shelton wrote and directed “Bull Durham,” the definitive movie about minor league baseball and perhaps the definitive movie about baseball, period. And at least once a year at the start of baseball season, I put that movie on (first on VHS, then on DVD, and perhaps one day via the chip in my brain) to relive moments like veteran catcher Crash Davis teaching wild pitcher Nuke LaLoosh the words to “Try a Little Tenderness,” or manager Joe Riggins tearing into his team for being a bunch of lollygaggers.

So when ESPN first announced some of the directors signed to participate in the “30 for 30” documentary series, there was no movie I was looking forward to than Ron Shelton’s “Jordan Rides the Bus,” about Michael Jordan’s surprising decision during his first retirement from the NBA to play minor league baseball. Here was a perfect match of filmmaker and subject: the man who created an indelible portrait of life in the minors chronicling the brief career of the most famous minor leaguer ever.

“30 for 30” has aired irregularly for most of this year, with films popping up at random intervals in random timeslots. But the series is about to settle into a consistent Tuesday at 8 p.m. schedule from tonight through most of the fall, and “Jordan Rides the Bus” is the first one up.

And unfortunately, the film doesn’t live up to my expectations.

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<p>Ben (Michael Emerson)&nbsp;has a few answers for you in the &quot;Lost&quot;&nbsp;DVD epilogue.</p>

Ben (Michael Emerson) has a few answers for you in the "Lost" DVD epilogue.

Credit: ABC

'Lost' - 'The New Man in Charge': You guys have a DVD player?

Does the DVD epilogue live up to expectations?

The "Lost" season 6 DVD set hit stores today, and with it comes one of the most-anticipated DVD bonus features I can remember(*), "The New Man in Charge," a 12-minute epilogue to the series showing some of what Ben and Hurley were up to after the island events of "The End" (which I reviewed both here and here) and answering some fan questions that the series itself never got around to.

(*) Though I still believe that a candid making-of documentary about HBO's upcoming "Luck" and the very different professional styles of Dustin Hoffman, David Milch, et al would be the Greatest Of All Time.

Though the DVD only came out today, "New Man in Charge" has been floating around the internet for weeks, and I have some thoughts on it coming up just as soon as I play a game of Connect Four...

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<p>Laura Linney and Gabourey Sidibe on &quot;The Big C.&quot;</p>

Laura Linney and Gabourey Sidibe on "The Big C."

Credit: Showtime

'The Big C' - 'In the Summer Time': Splendor in the grass?

Cathy goes on the offensive

A review of the second episode of "The Big C" coming up just as soon as another bikini season passes me by...

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