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Predicting the 2013 Golden Globe nominees for Television

Will Lindsay Lohan, 'Newroom' and 'Girls' get Golden Globes attention

By Daniel Fienberg Tuesday, Dec 11, 2012 4:05 AM

Every summer, I spend a couple weeks delving into Emmy nomination predictions. I carefully examine each major category and handicap between 15 and 20 candidates, listing pros and cons and digging deep into precedent. 
 
As a result, I'm pretty good at Emmy predictions. Even when I'm wrong, 9 times out of 10, I know exactly why Emmy voters made the choices they made. I'm not perfect, but I can get inside the head of Average Emmy Joe reasonably well.
 
I'm not especially good at Golden Globe predictions.
 
Predicting the Golden Globes is like trying to get inside the head of Claire Danes' "Homeland" character when she's off her meds. After a while, it's all headshots, push-pins and interconnecting yarn.
 
When you are attempting to predict the actions of an award-giving organization that, in recent years, has nominated folks like Callie Thorne and Thomas Jane and Piper Perabo and Jennifer Love Hewitt, you're not dealing with an easily predictive sense of logic or evaluation.
 
Yes, Golden Globe voters love pretty people. But to what extreme? My predictions here suggest that Hayden Panettiere has a reasonable shot of being nominated for "Nashville," but have I gone too far? Did I go too far in assuming that as reviled as her performance was, Lindsay Lohan's chances of being nominated for "Liz and Dick" are almost disturbingly good?
 
As befits an organization of foreign journalists, the Golden Globe voters love nominating big name international actors, whether it be Jeremy Irons or Jonathan Rhys Meyers. So am I going out on a limb in saying that Jonny Lee Miller of "Elementary" is going to be right on the cusp of a nomination?
 
Dakota Johnson of "Ben and Kate" not only fits the Golden Globes preference towards attractive young actresses verging on stardom, but the daughter of Melanie Griffith and Don Johnson was also Miss Golden Globes a few years back. I don't have her getting a nomination, but if she does, you'll know exactly why.
 
And on and on.
 
It's enough to drive a prognosticator mad.
 
So here are my predictions. I've categorized by "Probable Nominees" (basically locks) and "Strong Candidates" and "Dark Horses." For the most part, the top six names are my formal predictions. Don't take any of it to the bank.
 
The Golden Globe nominations will be announced on Thursday (December 13) morning. 
 
Here are my predictions:
2013 Golden Globe Nomination Predictions - Television
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Daniel Fienberg
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A long-time member of the TCA Board and a longer-time blogger of "American Idol," Dan Fienberg writes about TV, except for when he writes about movies or sometimes writes about the Red Sox. But never music. He would sound stupid talking about music.
Related Searches: Golden Globes 2013, Oscars 2013, Golden Globes, Nominations, Predictions

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  • Default-avatar

    Whit

    Absolutely no chance that Garret Dillahunt and Martha Plimpton make it into the nominees? Such a shame... they deserve some recognition!

    December 11, 2012 at 5:41AM EST Reply to Comment
    • Gizmo_bigger_talkback_profile

      dan Whit - On a practical level? No. Zero chance. When I do my Emmy galleries in the summer, I'll give pages to both Dillahunt and Plimpton because they're unquestionably worthy of notice of some sort. But for this? Nah. I could have written their names in the "Dark Horse" fields out of support, but they're not going to get nods.

      Now watch: They'll both get nominated. Because that's how the Golden Globes work!

      -Daniel

      December 11, 2012 at 5:45AM EST
  • Default-avatar

    par

    Dakota Johnson will not only be nominated, but win.

    As you pointed out she's a former Miss Golden Globe plus -
    her Dad won a Golden Globe (Miami Vice)
    her Mom won a Golden Globe (Working Girl)
    her grandmother won a Golden Globe (The Birds)

    Oh, and she's really, really good on Ben & Kate.

    Engrave the trophy now.

    December 11, 2012 at 9:54AM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Rountati

    Yipes, so there is a chance the hosts (Tina Fey and Amy Poehler) might not even be nominated? yet, Charlie Sheen is almost a lock for a nod... shows the competitiveness the Actress in Comedy category is!

    December 11, 2012 at 5:14PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Gizmo_bigger_talkback_profile

      dan Rountati - I have to admit something: I didn't give any consideration to the fact that Fey and Poehler are hosting. Golden Globes voters could very plausibly decide it would be rude to not nominate the hosts... Oscar voters don't work that way when they have hosts who are hypothetically up for nominations, but Golden Globe voters really might...

      -Daniel

      December 11, 2012 at 5:23PM EST
  • Default-avatar

    mzaprogl

    Lindsay Lohan? LOL no

    December 11, 2012 at 7:09PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Default-avatar

      Some Guy Well, last year The Tourist got nominations for Best Comedy, and best Actor and Actress in a Comedy, and the film noms are usually less ridiculous than the tv ones- I wouldn't count her out.

      December 12, 2012 at 1:32AM EST
  • Default-avatar

    Checko

    I don't know much about the globes but there are three things I'm Sure:

    - Will be 7 nominees at least in Best Actress in Comedy or Musical just to include Poehler & Fey

    - Lindsay Lohan is SO getting a nomination just for fun, imagine all the press

    - SMASH is not only will be nominated could win. Golden Globes always go gaga for musicals

    December 11, 2012 at 10:00PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Matt

    Justified deserves some recognition.. Not sure why anyone would consider the Mindy Project getting a nominee.

    December 11, 2012 at 11:07PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Ashlee

    No love for Parenthood? I'm such a huge fan and this year has been full of fantastic performances but unfortunately I have little hope for the great series in terms of a nod or two or five. :(

    December 12, 2012 at 2:06AM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Nico

    Jonny Lee Miller doesn't do an american accent on Elementary.

    December 12, 2012 at 6:56AM EST Reply to Comment

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