Cat Deeley of "So You Think You Can Dance"

Credit: FOX

This is how I celebrate my first "American Idol"-free Thursday of the spring?

Weird, right?

Thursday (May 24) night is the two-hour season premiere of FOX's "So You Think You Can Dance" and, in honor of the season-starter, I'm gonna live-blog this sucker. I don't know if this will be a regular thing. In fact, I have my doubts for a few reasons:

1) I already know I probably won't be able to do next week, so I'm not going to get a Lou Gehrig-style streak going. 

2) I actually like "So You Think You Can Dance," but as a viewer. I'm not sure I feel the same way as a recapper. 

3) I don't know a darned thing about how to critique dancing, so I fear that my commentary will be full of empty words like "bendy" and "ab-tastic."

4) I don't know if anybody cares enough to read.

But for the purposes of the premiere? Let's get some live-blogging action going. And if you want more, read and comment and stuff...

Phillip Phillips, Jessica Sanchez and Ryan Seacrest of "American Idol"

Credit: FOX

When it comes to predicting "American Idol" winners early, I have a mixed track record. 

I underestimated both Kris Allen and Lee DeWyze dramatically, but I also knew after last season's Top 24 performances that Scotty McCreery was going to be unbeatable. 

This season, back in January, I fought with clunky Park City wireless to recap the "Idol" premiere the night before the start of the Sundance Film Festival. You can check out my recap here and you can scan all the way to the bottom to see my reaction to Phillip Phillips. I didn't make any similarly hyperbolic statements in any subsequent audition recaps, so I had a hunch. But I also didn't want to believe that "Idol" would prove to be that excruciatingly predictable, so when it came time to lock in my winner for HitFix's "Idol" Fantasy Game, I settled on Jessica Sanchez the week the game began.

No matter who wins on tonight's (May 23) "American Idol" Season 11 finale, it won't be an underdog. Don't fool yourself into thinking otherwise. Phil-Phil has the familiar "Idol"-winning profile. Jessica has the familiar diva vocals. Either result will make total sense.

But naturally, it's gonna take us 127 minutes (according to FOX) to get there. 

Click through for the full, exhaustive live-blog. And join the conversation as we approach our results.

Phillip Phillips and Jessica Sanchez of "American Idol"

Credit: FOX

It's "American Idol" Finale week!

After five months of auditions and performances and eliminations, we've come down an entirely logical finale: It's a showdown between the season's Best White Guy With a Guitar and the season's Most Talented Teenage Girl.

If you've been following "Idol" voting for a while, this is the matchup most likely to produce drama and this season does, indeed, seem to be up for grabs. 

My instinct is that although we may assume Phil-Phil is the favorite, for demographic reasons, he's more than capable of turning in a lackluster finale night performance, while Jessica is more than capable of dominating a head-to-head sing-off.

Click through for tonight's songs...

As always, you can subscribe to The Firewall & Iceberg Podcast over at the iTunes Store, where you can also rate us and comment on us. [Or you can always follow our RSS Feed.] 

And as always, feel free to e-mail us questions for the podcast.

As always, you can subscribe to The Firewall & Iceberg Podcast over at the iTunes Store, where you can also rate us and comment on us. [Or you can always follow our RSS Feed.] 

And as always, feel free to e-mail us questions for the podcast.

Phillip, Jessica and Joshua of "American Idol"

Credit: FOX

I couldn't make a prediction.

At least not in the picture accompanying this recap.

Since the season began, each week I've been putting a picture with my Thursday recaps of one singer I was certain wasn't going home and every week I'e been right. That's not saying all that much, but still... 

This week, though, I can't do it. Either Jessica Sanchez, Phillip Phillips or Joshua Ledet is going home and I don't have a clue who it will be. So I made a handy triptych. I'm confident one of those three singers will be voted out.

Yup. See that limb? I'm way out on it.

Click through for the full recap of the unpredictable (or unpredicted) results...