Bradley Cooper: "Silver Linings Playbook" has been greeted with muted enthusiasm by British critics and audiences alike -- even the UK marketing seemed unsure of what to do with the film's US-centric title, burying the "playbook" in microscopic type -- so its misses for Best Film and Best Director were easily seen coming. While Jennifer Lawrence always had enough heat to land a nomination, Robert De Niro did not -- so the fact that Bradley Cooper managed to score in a competitive Best Actor lineup is notable, and suggests an Oscar nomination for the leading man is all but cemented. 

"Anna Karenina": After underwhelming critics and fizzling at the box office way back in September, Joe Wright's eccentric Tolstoy adaptation didn't seem likely to be warmly embraced beyond BAFTA's technical branches. Still, it exercised some damage control today with six nods. Five of them are in below-the-line categories, which isn't particularly surprising, but nabbing that Best British Film nomination -- ahead of far more broadly acclaimed independent care -- counts as a significant coup. This will probably be the high point of the season for a film once fancied as a juggernaut, but it'll take what it can get.  

Meanwhile, these are the films and individuals less likely to be smiling this morning: 

Tom Hooper: Hooper was flying high yesterday with a semi-surprising DGA nod, but as I anticipated, the Oscar-winning British director's countrymen brought him crashing down to earth: his polarizing directorial choices may have brought "Les Misérables" nine nominations, but Best Director was not among them. (It may or may not be worth noting that, unlike the Academy, BAFTA didn't hand him their award for "The King's Speech.") Put it down to a competitive category, peer skepticism over Hooper's actual work or his slightly "difficult" reputation within the industry, but he remains a major question mark going into tomorrow's Oscar nominations. 

Steven Spielberg: Hooper can at least take comfort in the fact that he's in august company on the sidelines. While the Brit's omission for the Best Director lineup could be seen coming, Spielberg's is considerably more surprising -- all the more so considering that "Lincoln" wound up as the morning's top nominee, an anomaly that has never before occurred since the BAFTAs became an Oscar precursor. I had anticipated that one of the more American-flavored political dramas in the lineup could suffer a setback, and here it is: only one film ("Educating Rita" in 1983) has ever managed to take the top BAFTA without a nod for its director.  

"The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel": Earlier in the year, this genteel Britcom looked a likely BAFTA favorite, given its gangbusters box office and lineup of beloved veteran faces. But while "Skyfall" had obviously stolen some of its home-crowd thunder, it still looked likely to receive a scattering of compensatory nods. It was not to be, as the film scored a single (virtually obligatory) nomination for Best British Film. Judi Dench, usually nominated by BAFTA for the mere feat of showing up in a film, had to be content with a supporting nod for "Skyfall" -- but what's really stunning is that SAG nominee (and five-time BAFTA winner) didn't join her in that category. The odds now favor the Academy giving the film even fewer nominations tomorrow morning.

"Skyfall": Okay, so I missed big on this one. I had thought the combination of critical acclaim and record-breaking box office (it's now the all-time highest grosser in the UK) would be enough to secure James Bond his first Best Film BAFTA nod, and a leading tally overall. As it stands, Sam Mendes's classy 007 outing secured eight nominations -- a good showing for a franchise effort, but a disappointment considering the hype. It didn't even register as strongly as 2006's "Casino Royale," which managed nine nominations including Best Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay. This limited support from the British bloc puts a slight dampener on the film's chances of a Best Picture nod tomorrow, though with more slots to play with, all is not lost.

British independents: The BAFTAs inevitably skew more mainstream than the British Independent Film Awards earlier in the season, but even so, the relative absence of acclaimed local independent fare on the nominee list is striking. A few years ago, left-field titles like "Berberian Sound Studio" and "Sightseers" would have featured at least in the Best British Film lineup, while BIFA winner Andrea Riseborough might have made the Best Actress cut for "Shadow Dancer" -- here, they're nowhere to be seen, ditched for the bigger but less beloved likes of "Anna Karenina" and "Seven Psychopaths." Even the Carl Foreman Award (for first-time writers, directors and producers) was slightly less indie-friendly than usual, citing "The Muppets" director James Bobin over "Sightseers" scribes Alice Oram and Steve Lowe, and festival favorite Sally El Hosaini for "My Brother the Devil." 

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Guy Lodge is a South African-born critic and sometime screenwriter. In addition to his work at In Contention, he is a freelance contributor to Variety, Time Out, Empire and The Guardian. He lives well beyond his means in London.