The Long Shot: A salute to the non-contenders
Featuring my ideal-world Oscar ballot
Kaya Scodelario in "Wuthering Heights."
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Best Picture
"Alps"
"Damsels in Distress"
"Elena"
"Magic Mike"
"The Master"
"Post Mortem"
"Sister"
"The Snowtown Murders"
"Tabu"
"Wuthering Heights"
Best Director
Andrey Zvyagintsev, "Elena"
Steven Soderbergh, "Magic Mike"
Paul Thomas Anderson, "The Master"
Miguel Gomes, "Tabu"
Andrea Arnold, "Wuthering Heights"
Best Actor
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Master"
Denis Lavant, "Holy Motors"
Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master"
Paul Rudd, "Wanderlust"
Channing Tatum, "21 Jump Street"
Best Actress
Greta Gerwig, "Damsels in Distress"
Melissa Leo, "Francine"
Nadezhda Markina, "Elena"
Emmanuelle Riva, "Amour"
Rachel Weisz, "The Deep Blue Sea"
Best Supporting Actor
Jason Clarke, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Tom Cruise, "Rock of Ages"
James Gandolfini, "Killing Them Softly"
Armie Hammer, "Mirror Mirror"
Matthew McConaughey, "Magic Mike"
Best Supporting Actress
Edwina Findley, "Middle of Nowhere"
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Elena Lyadova, "Elena"
Juno Temple, "Killer Joe"
Lorraine Toussaint, "Middle of Nowhere"
Best Original Screenplay
Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthymis Flippipou, "Alps"
Whit Stillman, "Damsels in Distress"
Andrey Zvyagintsev and Oleg Negin, "Elena"
Paul Thomas Anderson, "The Master"
Miguel Gomes and Mariana Ricardo, "Tabu"
Best Adapted Screenplay
Julia Loktev, "The Loneliest Planet"
Jacques Audiard and Thomas Bidegain, "Rust and Bone"
David O. Russell, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Shaun Grant and Justin Kurzel, "The Snowtown Murders"
Michael Bacall and Jonah Hill, "21 Jump Street"
Best Documentary
"The Central Park Five"
"I'm Carolyn Parker"
"The Imposter"
"Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God"
"This Is Not a Film"
Best Animated Feature
"Frankenweenie"
"The Painting"
"The Secret World of Arrietty"
Best Cinematography
Robbie Ryan, "Ginger and Rosa"
Mihai Malaimare, Jr., "The Master"
Gokhan Tiryaki, "Once Upon a Time in Anatolia"
Agnes Godard, "Sister"
Robbie Ryan, "Wuthering Heights"
Best Production Design
Sarah Greenwood, "Anna Karenina"
Mark Digby, "Dredd 3D"
Florian Sanson, "Holy Motors"
Eugenio Caballero, "The Impossible"
Jack Fisk, "The Master"
Best Costume Design
Jacqueline Durran, "Anna Karenina"
Margot Wilson, "Lawless"
Mark Bridges, "The Master"
Eiko Ishioka, "Mirror Mirror"
Leah Katznelson, "21 Jump Street"
Best Film Editing
Steven Soderbergh, "Magic Mike"
Gerardo Naranjo, "Miss Bala"
Juliette Welfling, "Rust and Bone"
Veronika Jenet, "The Snowtown Murders"
William Goldenberg and Dylan Tichenor, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Makeup and Hair
"Holy Motors"
"The Impossible"
"Lawless"
Best Original Score
Benh Zeitlin and Dan Romer, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Jonny Greenwood, "The Master"
Kathryn Bostic, "Middle of Nowhere"
Mihaly Vig, "The Turin Horse"
Alexandre Desplat, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Original Song
"The Sambola! International Dance Craze," "Damsels in Distress"
"Who Were We," "Holy Motors"
"Cosmonaut," "Lawless"
"Midnight Run," "Lawless"
"Skyfall," "Skyfall"
Best Sound Mixing
"The Impossible"
"Miss Bala"
"The Snowtown Murders"
"Wuthering Heights"
"Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Sound Editing
"The Impossible"
"Lawless"
"Miss Bala"
"Neighbouring Sounds"
"Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Visual Effects
"Holy Motors"
"The Impossible"
"Life of Pi"
"Prometheus"
"Rust and Bone"
2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actor
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup And Hairstyling
Best Original Score
Best Original Song
Best Production Design
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects
Best Animated Feature Film
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Language Film
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January 10, 2013 at 1:10AM EST Reply to CommentThis Guy has his head shoved so far up his own ass…
GlennAU You're trolling is tired.
January 10, 2013 at 3:37AM ESTCordy
January 10, 2013 at 1:16AM EST Reply to CommentI love your picks Guy, they are surprising but always make complete sense.
red_wine
January 10, 2013 at 1:30AM EST Reply to CommentExtremely interesting picks to parse through. It has atleast a dozen films which I can take as recommendations.
Paul Outlaw
January 10, 2013 at 1:34AM EST Reply to CommentYou are on a roll, Guy. Although I finally caught up with Magic Mike last week, and while there's much to appreciate about it, I was ultimately disappointed, in a Silver Linings Playbook sort of way. ("Is that all there is?")
Jeremy
January 10, 2013 at 1:44AM EST Reply to CommentKudos on the Juno Temple pick -- she took a potentially ludicrous role and imbued it with beauty, mystery, and savagery.
My own ballot would obviously look quite a bit different from yours -- especially seeing as "Looper", "Ruby Sparks," and "The Cabin in the Woods" combine to form precisely zero of your selections -- but your list is clearly personal in nature, and it's hard to ask for more than that.
Joe K
January 10, 2013 at 1:45AM EST Reply to CommentI really, really wish you got to vote for Oscars. They'd be so much weirder (and I mean that in the best sense). Also, Hell yes for the 21 Jump Street love. I thought I was the only person out there who thinks that screenplay is far more deserving than most of the Oscar contenders this year.
Joe K
January 10, 2013 at 1:46AM EST Reply to CommentI really, really wish you got to vote on the Oscars. They'd be so much weirder (and I mean that in the best sense). Also, Hell Yes to the 21 Jump Street love. I thought I was the only person who thinks that screenplay is far more deserving than most of the Oscar contenders this year.
someperson
January 10, 2013 at 1:56AM EST Reply to CommentDredd 3D gets a hypothetical Oscar nomination?
Guy, you wonderful bastard.
Al
January 10, 2013 at 1:56AM EST Reply to CommentDredd for production design? Hell yeah.
RichardZ
January 10, 2013 at 2:02AM EST Reply to CommentFor me, I'd have the best costume nod for Magic Mike.
It's so now-period and regional Tampa specific. The craft was being made in the film--the strippers made their own costumes! So meta.
/3rt
January 10, 2013 at 2:18AM EST Reply to CommentShocked by your omission of DULL TOOL from Fiona. I know you're a fellow fan and like me appreciate all new music she's willing to unleash.
Guy Lodge I like the song, but I haven't seen the film.
January 10, 2013 at 7:21AM ESTLocked Door
January 10, 2013 at 2:31AM EST Reply to CommentCan't believe Julia Roberts in Mirror Mirror was snubbed in Guy's alternate reality nominations. Did she just miss the cut in lead or supporting? I could see them positioning her as supporting even though it's a lead performance.
Guy Lodge She was on my Best Actress longlist. So many more names I wanted to include.
January 10, 2013 at 7:22AM ESTthekingbulletin
January 10, 2013 at 3:14AM EST Reply to CommentLove the picks across the board. Small question: Did Daniel Henshall never quite wow you as much as Louise Harris? I'm curious, since I find him every bit commanding as her (albeit in an entirely different key). He's arguably even a lead in the film, too, which may have factored into your consideration.
Dooby He was my standout, though Louise Harris certainly would find her way onto my own hypothetical ballot.
January 10, 2013 at 3:27AM ESTGuy Lodge He's great, and was in my next five for Best Actor.
January 10, 2013 at 7:22AM ESTGlennAU
January 10, 2013 at 3:39AM EST Reply to CommentWhat a list! I can't wait to be able to see the films listed that I haven't been able to yet (like TABU, MIDDLE OF NOWHERE, GINGER AND ROSA). Some very excellent choices in there - love the citations for titles like ELENA, THE TURIN HORSE, MIRROR MIRROR. And even though I didn't like the film, Louise Harris indeed deserves all the supporting actress awards she can get for SNOWTOWN (or THE SNOWTOWN MURDERS as it's known elsewhere). She is stunning (even if she'd be on my 2011 ballot since that's when it was released here).
morganisaqt
January 10, 2013 at 4:00AM EST Reply to Commenthttp://soverymiddleclass.blogspot.co.nz/2013/01/supporting-actress-of-year.html - my nominations - under supporting men we agree on a few things ;) YAY Tom Cruise
Evan
January 10, 2013 at 4:13AM EST Reply to CommentJust curious since you seem to be the person outside of the Academy who sees the great number of the submissions, which five of this year's submissions would you have nominated in Foreign Language Film?
Evan *greatest
January 10, 2013 at 4:19AM ESTGuy Lodge From the submissions: Lore, Amour, Sister, Our Children, No. On a different day, Barbara might make it in instead. Good pool to choose from this year.
January 10, 2013 at 7:25AM ESTmgd
January 10, 2013 at 5:22AM EST Reply to CommentFor years I have read critics compare certain films to a shot or punch to the stomach but never truly knew the meaning until watching the snowtown murders.
Alex_B
January 10, 2013 at 8:36AM EST Reply to Comment"Who Were We" shoulda been Oscar nominated :( along with Denis.
Patryk
January 10, 2013 at 6:31PM EST Reply to CommentI guess "Roadie," with fine performances from Ron Eldard, Bobby Cannavale and Lois Smith wasn't eligible either. It played for one week in NYC and disappeared. Catch it if you can, anyone!
Levi
January 11, 2013 at 2:09AM EST Reply to CommentIf I had seen this list before knowing who the creator was, I would diagnose the person as a paranoid schizophrenic. But since it is you Guy (whom I respect dearly), I'm afraid I will be having nightmares for the next week, or two, more fiendish than the thought that I am having right now of Tom Cruise and Nadezhda Markina being directed by Soderbergh on the fine art of bare backing, with Jonah Hill, dressed in a modest red Ishiota number, filling in as the cinematographer (presumably because Agnes Godard was more obbssesed with Denis Lavant's ice pick dick.) Otherwise, interesting list?! Salut! I no longer feel bat-shit. I say this with love. Honestly.