Tech Support: Final predictions for Cinematography, Costume Design, Film Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing
Rounding out our pre-noms coverage
"Skyfall"
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This is part two of our pre-nominations wrap-up. We'll be looking at Best Cinematography, Best Costume Design, Best Film Editing, Best Sound Editing and Best Sound Mixing. Click here for part one.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY (Tech Support Analysis)
Oy…what a stacked category! Claudio Miranda is the only mortal lock for the visually extraordinary “Life of Pi.” Everyone agreed that living legend Roger Deakins made “Skyfall” look gorgeous and if anyone can get nominated for a Bond movie, it’s him. I wouldn’t call him a lock given the genre but I’d say a nomination is more likely than not.
After that, I’m banking on Robert Richardson (“Django Unchained”), Greig Fraser (“Zero Dark Thirty”) and Janusz Kaminski (“Lincoln”), in ascending order of likelihood, to round out the category for these likely Best Picture nominees with important visual narratives. They have disadvantages – Fraser’s newness, Richardson’s film’s late arrival, Kaminski’s film’s relative lack of showiness. But I feel their advantages – Fraser’s critics’ awards, Richardson’s and Kaminski’s reputations – are greater. The visual palette of each film draws attention to itself in unique but appropriate ways. Richardson’s film is not assured of a Best Picture nomination and I’d rank him fifth.
But this leaves Mihai Malaware Jr. on the outside looking in for the gorgeous 65mm “The Master,” which I’ll be the first to admit doesn’t seem right. It just seems to me to be the sort of achievement that the critics adore but comes up short with Oscar. Just a hunch.
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Tech Support: Final predictions for Makeup, Score, Song, Production Design, Visual Effects
Which films look set to dominate the crafts categories?
And what of Danny Cohen’s BAFTA-nominated take on “Les Misérables” (musicals usually do well here), Rodrigo Prieto’s narratively-tailored photography of “Argo” (though it feels like more of an ASC nominee to me -- we'll find out shortly), Wally Pfister’s work with Christopher Nolan on “The Dark Knight Rises” (their last four collaborations have earned nominations here) and Seamus McGarvey’s gorgeous lensing of “Anna Karenina” (also a BAFTA nominee)? Well, this is, as usual, a really tight race.
(UPDATE: With the ASC nominations, I'm opting for "Les Mis" over "Django.")
Final Predictions:
"Les Misérables"
"Life of Pi"
"Lincoln"
"Skyfall
"Zero Dark Thirty"
(alt. “The Master”)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN (Tech Support Analysis)
The Costume Designers Guild is not announcing its nominees until next week, leaving us at a disadvantage in this category. Even so, Jacqueline Durran is a mortal lock for a nomination for “Anna Karenina.” The combination of respected costume designers, period settings and likely Best Picture nominations leads me to predict Jacqueline West (“Argo”), Sharen Davis (“Django Unchained”), Paco Delgado (“Les Misérables”) and Joanna Johnston (“Lincoln”) to round out the top five.
Though as I noted in my column about this category two months ago, costumers don't necessarily care for a film’s overall reputation, and there are frequently nominees that are sole representatives from their films. Indeed, five respected titles, and four Best Picture nominees, would be highly unusual – nothing remotely similar has happened since 2002/2003. So perhaps Kym Barrett and Pierre-Yves Gayraud will score for their very noticeable and plentiful work on “Cloud Atlas?” Or will Manon Rasmussen be the beneficiary of this branch’s love for royalty and foreign films with “A Royal Affair?” More likely, however, I’d look to the “Snow White” films of the late Oscar winner Eiko Ishioka (“Mirror Mirror”) and AMPAS favorite Colleen Atwood (“Snow White and the Huntsman”).
Final Predictions:
"Anna Karenina"
"Argo"
"Django Unchained"
"Les Misérables"
"Lincoln"
(alt. "Snow White and the Huntsman")
BEST FILM EDITING (Tech Support Analysis)
Like Best Costume Design, this is an especially difficult category to predict as the American Cinema Editors are unapologetically announcing their nominees after the Academy. Even so, this category tends to line up to a great extent with Best Picture. As such, I fully expect Best Picture frontrunners “Argo” (William Goldenberg), “Lincoln” (Michael Kahn) and “Zero Dark Thirty” (William Goldenberg and Dylan Tichenor) to end up in the final five.
A big musical like “Les Misérables” (Chris Dickens) has all the makings of a nominee. Some have quibbled with the editing but given how well the film seems to be doing with the guilds, I’ll predict Dickens’s second nomination.
2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actor
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup And Hairstyling
Best Original Score
Best Original Song
Best Production Design
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects
Best Animated Feature Film
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Language Film
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Comments
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Login or create a HitFix account Login SignupChase Kahn
January 9, 2013 at 12:53PM EST Reply to CommentPersonally, I think Ishioka's work on "Mirror Mirror" is the best Costume Design of the year by a healthy margin. I realize the film doesn't have many admirers (I love it), but that kind of work should be recognized.
Monty Jack
January 9, 2013 at 1:05PM EST Reply to CommentDoes anyone else not see the difference between the two Best Sound categories? Seems like a waste of precious airtime to have two. I mean, there aren't seperate categories for Art Decoration and Set Decoration, right?
JLPatt Yes. Sound editing entails sound effects that must be put into the film, generally in post. Mixing is balancing all the sounds that appear throughout the entire film (effects, dialogue, music) so that they blend seamlessly together. I'm kind of offended you think it's a "waste of precious airtime" to have them both.
January 9, 2013 at 4:23PM ESTDylanS
January 9, 2013 at 1:07PM EST Reply to CommentGerard, glad to see you and I match up on so many of these categories. We agree on all five for original song, production design, costumes, editing and VFX. Sure hoping a few of those translate! And thanks as always for your contributions with this feature, truly one of the best on this site of many great features!
RichardZ
January 9, 2013 at 1:31PM EST Reply to CommentI didn't expect that Django Unchained was gonna do so well in the predictions for the tech dept. It think the alternates for the cinematography and editing are better than Django. We shall see tomorrow.
Great job on these analyses. Again, this is a feature on this site that I always look forward to and sets this site above the rest.
Gerard Kennedy
January 9, 2013 at 2:27PM EST Reply to CommentAfter the ASC nominations, I feel I want to swap "Django" out of Cinematography in favor of "Les Mis."
Monty Jack: In essence, "Editing" is the creation/integration of artificial sounds not captured during filming. "Mixing," on the other hand, is the blending of the effects, music, dialogue and everything else into what we hear as the soundtrack.
DylanS and RichardZ: Thanks so much!
DylanS I decided for Cinematography to swap out "The Master" in favor of "Les Mis", and I kept "Django" in with "Anna Karenina" on the outside. Though I still think there's a possibility, and it would be the what the fuck moment of nominations day, that "Skyfall" doesn't show up here.
January 9, 2013 at 2:40PM ESTAndrew F
January 9, 2013 at 3:19PM EST Reply to CommentI have a (bad) feeling that "Zero Dark Thirty" won't make it for Cinematography, and that "Les Misérables" will. I'm also feeling that the costume branch will spring for "A Royal Affair" -- period royalty porn, heck yeah!
JLPatt
January 9, 2013 at 4:21PM EST Reply to CommentHow in the world does "Django" get in for Best Editing? It seems the one thing virtually everyone can agree on is that it's sorely lacking the control and finesse of Sally Menke.
Also, what an utter shame "The Impossible" can't even be mentioned for the sound categories. How did this happen (I'm not necessarily blaming you)? "Flight" has one notable scene and gets a mention, but "The Impossible" has an entire movie of disaster sounds AND that "one notable scene" that knocks the "Flight" scene out of the water and off the earth.
daveylo
January 9, 2013 at 8:21PM EST Reply to CommentI'm really surprised you're predicting Les Miz for editing over Life of Pi.
Gerard Kennedy
January 9, 2013 at 9:32PM EST Reply to CommentIf you take a look at my list of predictions, and read the column, you'll realize that I am predicting both "Les Mis" and "Life of Pi" over "Django" -- that's a mistake. I still think an action-oriented QT film with a real shot at Best Picture is a serious contender in that category, might I add.