<p>Bubble contender Emmanuelle Riva with Daniel&nbsp;Day-Lewis at Monday night's New York&nbsp;Film&nbsp;Critics Circle awards ceremony</p>

Bubble contender Emmanuelle Riva with Daniel Day-Lewis at Monday night's New York Film Critics Circle awards ceremony

Credit: AP Photo/Starpix, Dave Allocca

11th hour thoughts on the eve of the nominations

See you bright and early tomorrow

Okay, so I went back and fiddled with some things this morning before getting on my flight to LA. It's all reflected there and in this afternoon's big gallery story presenting my final predictions along with Greg Ellwood's and Guy Lodge's.

I love how zany this year is. So much that we "know" about an awards season can just be thrown out the window. But of course, there will always be those who claim to have "the knowledge." Don't let 'em fool you.

I have a few wishes, if I might toss them out there. I'd like to see "The Grey " show up. Anywhere. Doesn't matter the category. Any hint that it was seen and loved, that would be great, thanks. (Fat chance, I know.)

I would like to see the actors do the right thing by Emmanuelle Riva. It's the year's best performance, a brave portrayal in the actress's twilight years. And frankly, I'd love to see Jean-Louis Trintignant right there beside her. Indeed, Trintignant and Samuel L. Jackson are my left-field hopefuls that have a fair enough chance to surprise.

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<p>&quot;5 Broken&nbsp;Cameras&quot;</p>

"5 Broken Cameras"

Credit: Kino Lorber

'5 Broken Cameras,' 'Detropia' pick up top prizes at Cinema Eye Honors

A great year of docs well-represented throughout

As I wrote last weekend when I broke down this year's Oscar race for Best Documentary Feature, I really wish I had caught up with "5 Broken Cameras" earlier in the season. It is quite simply one of the most astonishing pieces of work I've seen all year and could easily have figured on my top 10 list (where "The Queen of Versailles" was already featured -- it's been such a great year for the form).

I was happy, then, to see the news that the film took the top prize at tonight's Cinema Eye Honors. Such a bold and respectable call in a year that sees "Searching for Sugar Man" virtually dominating the scene (and likely to win the Oscar, too). I still feel good about the film's chances for a nod; after this win (not that this is an overly predictive), it's clear it has support.

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<p>Kaya Scodelario in &quot;Wuthering Heights.&quot;</p>

Kaya Scodelario in "Wuthering Heights."

Credit: Oscilloscope Pictures

The Long Shot: A salute to the non-contenders

Featuring my ideal-world Oscar ballot

Right, 'tis the night before Oscar Nomination Day, and plenty of creatures are still stirring. Many pundits are still feverishly tweaking their prediction lists, cross-referencing precursor lists and previous years' editions for clues, but like my HitFix colleagues, I've let mine go. These, for better or (probably) worse, are my final guesses -- some pragmatic, some playful -- and I don't much feel like shuffling them any further.

Nor, really, do I feel like talking about them much further. I could use this column to explain the method (minimal) behind my eight-nominee Best Picture lineup or the madness (maximal) behind predicting a Best Original Song nod for "The Sambola!," but any such rationalizations reach their sell-by date in just a few hours' time. I could look ahead to the next stage of the race, and the contenders likeliest to win it, but thanks to the Academy's reconfigured calendar, we still have over six weeks left in which to exhaust that topic. (Thank heavens we have some festivals in the interim to break up the conversation.)

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<p>&quot;Keep the Lights On&quot; was the one film to score in both the Film of the Year and LGBT Film of the Year categories.</p>

"Keep the Lights On" was the one film to score in both the Film of the Year and LGBT Film of the Year categories.

Credit: Music Box Films

'Les Mis' leads Gay and Lesbian Critics nods

Other nominees range from 'Argo' to 'Pitch Perfect'

The Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics' Association has added its list of nominees to the very tall pile, and in a wholly non-stereotypical turn of events, "Les Misérables" leads the film field with four citations, including one particularly likely to aggravate its detractors -- for Visually Striking Film of the Year. "Argo," "Beasts of the Southern Wild" and "Lincoln" join"Les Mis" in the top category, but there's more individuality to be found in the more specialized races, where the pleasingly alliterative trio of "The Perks of Being  a Wallflower," "The Paperboy" and "Pitch Perfect" all feature, while "Keep the Lights On" scored in both the Film of the Year and LGBT Film of the Year fields. Full list of film nominees below; everything else at The Circuit.

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<p>Paul N.J. Ottosson at the 2009 Academy Awards, with his two Oscars for &quot;The Hurt Locker.&quot;</p>

Paul N.J. Ottosson at the 2009 Academy Awards, with his two Oscars for "The Hurt Locker."

Credit: AP Photo/Matt Sayles

Tech Support: Paul N.J. Ottosson on the subtly explosive soundscapes of 'Zero Dark Thirty'

The Oscar-winning sound designer takes an organic approach to action

There's a standard line in awards-watching circles that voters often confuse Best Sound with Most Sound, but yesterday's nominations for the Cinema Audio Society awards didn't quite bear that out. Nestled between the thundering action of “The Hobbit” and “Skyfall,” and the showy live-vocal capture of “Les Mis,” we had the soft, chamber-y echoes of “Lincoln” and, most interestingly of all, “Zero Dark Thirty” – a film that takes a refreshingly understated sonic approach to territory Hollywood tends to fill with cacophonous fireworks.

This isn't the first time Swedish-born sound designer Paul N.J. Ottosson has been recognized for his muscular-but-delicate artistry on a Kathryn Bigelow thriller – three years ago, with collaborator Ray Beckett, he won the CAS Award, not to mention two Oscars, for his unnerving soundscapes on “The Hurt Locker.” That film, with its narrative expressly based around explosives, was a sound man's playground, compared to which “Zero Dark Thirty” concentrates its pyrotechnics in shorter bursts.

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<p>&quot;Lincoln&quot;</p>

"Lincoln"

Credit: DreamWorks Pictures

'Lincoln' wins with Iowa critics

The film won Best Film, Best Director, Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor

"Lincoln" has picked up a third Best Picture critics prize, landing the Iowa Film Critics Association award for the year's best film. Steven Spielberg, Daniel Day-Lewis and Tommy Lee Jones were also singled out for the biopic, while Jessica Chastain ("Zero Dark Thirty") and Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables") rounded out the acting honors. Check out the full list below and keep track of it all via The Circuit.

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<p>Roger Deakins picked up his 11th&nbsp;ASC&nbsp;nomination, for &quot;Skyfall.&quot;</p>

Roger Deakins picked up his 11th ASC nomination, for "Skyfall."

Credit: Sony Pictures

'Anna Karenina,' 'Les Mis,' 'Life of Pi,' 'Lincoln,' 'Skyfall' grab ASC nominations

'Django Unchained,' 'The Master,' 'Zero Dark Thirty' miss the cut

The American Society of Cinematographers (ASC) has announced nominees for its 27th annual awards honoring excellence in cinematography.

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<p>&quot;Skyfall&quot;</p>

"Skyfall"

Credit: Sony Pictures

Tech Support: Final predictions for Cinematography, Costume Design, Film Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing

Rounding out our pre-noms coverage

This is part two of our pre-nominations wrap-up. We'll be looking at Best Cinematography, Best Costume Design, Best Film Editing, Best Sound Editing and Best Sound Mixing. Click here for part one.

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<p>A scene from &quot;Lawless,&quot; the most recent credit in VFX supervisor Bill Taylor's long career.</p>

A scene from "Lawless," the most recent credit in VFX supervisor Bill Taylor's long career.

Credit: The Weinstein Company

Roundup: Academy to honor Bill Taylor at Sci-Tech Awards

Also: A Goya nod for Watts, and predicting the nominees... for next year

With the Oscar nominations at the front of everyone's mind, the honorees at the Academy's separate Sci-Tech Awards ceremony -- known to casual viewers only via a video clip, usually presented by a bright-eyed ingenue -- tend to get short shrift. So let's take a moment to applaud veteran visual effects supervisor Bill Taylor, who will be receiving the Academy's John A. Bonner Medal of Commendation. A member of the Academy's Board of Governor, Taylor's career (and AMPAS membership) spans over 40 years, taking in such such films as the original "The Thing," "Glory," "Cape Fear," "The Fast and the Furious" and, most recently, "Lawless." It's his second special award from the Academy: his first, in 1981, was in recognition of his innovations in the area of aerial image optical printing. [AMPAS]

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<p>Ben Affleck is smiling this morning, whatever this photo might suggest.</p>

Ben Affleck is smiling this morning, whatever this photo might suggest.

Credit: Warner Bros. Pictures

The winners and losers from today's BAFTA nominations

Affleck is celebrating, Hooper and Spielberg not so much

As usual, BAFTA delivered a few surprises this morning. While nothing in their nominee list is as far off the Oscar radar as, say, "Drive"'s hefty haul last year, they've muddled up the hierarchy a little among the leading awards players, as two of the three leading nominees found their directors frozen out -- and not even in favor of certain underperforming British hopefuls, as might have been expected.

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