Cannes awards preview: What will win, and what should
Who will get the gold from Steven Spielberg and his fellow jurors?
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Will win: "Heli," Amat Escalante
Should win: "Borgman," Alex van Warmerdam
Other possibilities: "The Great Beauty," Paolo Sorrentino; "A Touch of Sin," Jia Zhangke; "Grigris," Mahamat Saleh-Haroun; "Only Lovers Left Alive," Jim Jarmusch
Our reasoning: Perhaps more than any other category, this is the one that most regularly springs jaw-dropping (or even head-scratching) surprises: last year's win for Ken Loach's widely dismissed "The Angels' Share," for example. That said, Loach's win was something of a rarity for an award that frequently goes to younger and/or edgier filmmakers whose envelope-pushing work isn't quite unifying enough for a bigger prize: typical recent winners include Andrea Arnold, Maiwenn and Carlos Reygadas. Reygadas protégé Escalante fits the bill: he's the youngest director in Competition and his highly polished "Heli" was one of the more sensational entries in the lineup. Of course, if the jury simply opts to use this award in its literal bronze-medal capacity, this could go any which way.