Nominees:
Emily Blunt, "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Judi Dench, "Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Maggie Smith, "Quartet"
Meryl Streep, "Hope Springs"

Who will win: Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Upset special: Emily Blunt, "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"
Lowdown: Lawrence pretty much has this one locked up. It would be a huge upset if anyone else won, but if you had to pick a spoiler it's Blunt who has now been nominated four times and is a previous winner for her role in the TV movie "Gideon's Daughter." Lawrence has one previous nod for "Winter's Bone."