New Oscar rules: What would have been nominated for best picture 2001-2008?
The films that would have been honored with the new 5% rule
When the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced last month that it was changing the way the best picture nominees were being determined it set off quite a flurry across the industry and among Oscar watchers. No longer would their be a set 10 nominees, but five to 10 depending on the percentage of first place votes a film received. Confused? Let's review the protocol, shall we?
Every year, Academy members rank their top films from one to 10 in the best picture category. These films end up making the best picture nominees. It turns out the Academy's accountants, PricewaterhouseCoopers, determined that if a film had to qualify for a nomination by receiving at least 5% of the member's first place votes (a somewhat arbitrary figure) there never would have been 10 nominees between 2001-2008, the eight years prior to 2009 when the new 10 was implemented. A perfect excuse to revert back from the guaranteed 10 nominees of the past two years, no? (Sigh.)
In order to prove its point, the Academy revealed that in that same time period there were years when just 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 films would have been nominated. And since every season there have been films who were surprisingly left off the list, it begs to reason it would be an interesting exercise to figure out what each nominee classes would have been under the new 5% rule. Therefore, with no secrets from the PricewaterhouseCoopers archives or the Academy's vaults to assist me, this pundit has taken a stab at it. Some of the films that would have made the cut will surprise you and some won't, but it certainly should make you feel better about the new rules.
Not that we need them...

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Login or create a HitFix account Login SignupJonnybon
July 7, 2011 at 8:03AM EST Reply to CommentGood calls.
Potential others: Before Sunset? Gone Baby Gone? The Bourne Ultimatum?
And Changeling would definitely have better support than Gran Torino.
ZacharyTF
July 7, 2011 at 9:17AM EST Reply to CommentJonnybon,
Don't forget the power of Eastwood. It wouldn't surprise me if both had been nominated.
No Memento for 2002? Editing and Original Screenplay nods make me wonder if there would have been enough support for a Best Picture nomination.
Hector
July 7, 2011 at 10:34AM EST Reply to CommentIt's so striking to look at the 2002 and realize that the actual winner is far and away the weakest film of both the actual and projected hypothetical nominees.
Jerod
July 7, 2011 at 11:27AM EST Reply to CommentEternal Sunshine was by far the best film that came out in 2004, not even close.
lztouchthedream
July 7, 2011 at 5:14PM EST Reply to CommentI don't think anyone who's seen City of God would scoff at it being included for Best Picture. The subject matter may not be everyone's cup of tea, but it's clearly well written, well acted, and very well directed.
Renard B.
July 8, 2011 at 2:09AM EST Reply to Comment"MULHOLLAND DRIVE" would have definitely been in the BP nominees in 2011; if Lynch got a Directing nom, the film no doubt would've gone in.