With Margo Martindale gone, will this be Christina Hendricks' year?
Next gallery »Emmy Nomination Preview 2012 - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy
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Joelle Carter of 'Justified'
Joelle Carter, "Justified"
Nomination Status: A "Justified" actress won this category last year. Maybe that'll prompt voters to turn over a few new stones on the same show.
In Her Favor: I've personally loved watching Ava Crowder's transition from victim to woman-in-need-of-strong-man to victim to genuinely strong, kinda badass woman over three seasons. Ava got a lot to do this season and that gave Joelle Carter probably her best season of work to-date.
Working Against Her: At least 35% of Emmy voters probably can't tell Joelle Carter and Natalie Zea apart and roughly the same number can't tell Ava and Winona apart. Mostly, though, Carter's problem is that when it comes to awards, she's being upstaged by Timothy Olyphant, Walton Goggins and Neal McDonough on a show that's probably going to only early a finite number of nominations anyway.