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'Sons of Anarchy'
"Sons of Anarchy," FX
Nomination Status: Our favorite dark horse, but probably still a longshot.
In Its Favor: If we were doing a Sepinwall-esque list of favorites, rather than doing a list of most plausible Emmy candidates, we would have "Mad Men," "Breaking Bad" and "Sons of Anarchy" at the top of the list, since those were really and truly the three best drama series of the past year. FX put together a very elaborate and pretty promotional book and "Sons of Anarchy" got prime position. All FX would have to do is convince Emmy voters to actually watch.
Working Against It: With the exception of a lone Emmy nomination last year for Outstanding Original Main Title Theme Music, "Sons of Anarchy" has yet to be discovered by any award-giving organization other than the Television Critics Association. It would take a pretty huge leap for "Sons of Anarchy" to go from totally neglected to Outstanding Drama Series, but that leap would be on par with the jump in quality the show took in Season Two. We'll cross our fingers, but this probably won't happen.