After three straight '30 Rock' wins, 'Glee' and 'Modern Family' lead a charge of new contentders
"30 Rock," NBC
Nomination Status: To become the king, you're gonna have to dethrone the king
In Its Favor: You can't argue with the "30 Rock" track record: Three seasons. Three Outstanding Comedy Series Emmy nominations. Three wins. That doesn't mean "30 Rock" is a sure thing to win this year or even that it's actually the favorite, but the chances of it falling out of the Outstanding Comedy field are nil. On a qualitative note, even if "30 Rock" wasn't at its best for most of the first half of the season, the show closed strong and delivered its fair share of well-crafted episodes -- James Franco, EGOT, etc..
Working Against It: The fourth "30 Rock" season was particularly rough in its opening weeks, a time that corresponded with the rapid rise of "Modern Family," "Glee" and a slew of newer comedies. "30 Rock" has always lost the ratings race, but this was the first year it also lost the buzz race. For nomination purposes? That won't matter.