Who will get the gold from Steven Spielberg and his fellow jurors?
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Will win: Asghar Farhadi, "The Past"
Should win: Asghar Farhadi, "The Past"
Other possibilities: Joel and Ethan Coen, "Inside Llewyn Davis"; Bob Nelson, "Nebraska"; Richard LaGravenese, "Behind the Candelabra"; Alex van Warmerdam, "Borgman"; Hirokazu Kore-eda, "Like Father, Like Son"
Our reasoning: Cannes juries often use this award less as a specific acknowledgement of outstanding writing than as a consolation prize for notable films that missed out on the bigger awards. In this case, however, it could work both ways. Asghar Farhadi's intricately scripted marital drama is many people's tip for the Palme, but should it miss out, it'd make a lot of sense to recognize the writer-director for his remarkable skills as a dramatist. In a Competition where many of the films are heavier on visual or sensual storytelling, Farhadi's classically screenplay-bound approach stands out.