This year's field of originals and adaptations is incredibly dense
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"Lone Survivor" - Peter Berg (Adapted Screenplay)
Pros: A long-time industry veteran as an actor and director, Berg is best known for writing and directing the original "Friday Night Lights" movie and then developing the acclaimed TV show. Like the book it's based on, "Lone Survivor" tries to keep its tragic storyline as honest as possible, warts and all.
Cons: Adapted is honestly a tougher category to crack than Best Picture these days. The film would really have to touch a nerve with the writers branch and that just doesn't seem likely.