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Bruce Dern - "Nebraska"
Pros: It's difficult not to pull for someone like Dern who finally gets his moment in the sun after being a supporting player for decades. And you can bet, he has a lot of friends in the Academy who empathize with that plight.
Cons: If certain corners of the media wish to harp on the idea that he'd have a better shot in the supporting race (which isn't necessarily true), then it could become a damaging talking point. But that seems to be mostly squashed by now. The real trick is getting enough support for what is a little indie excursion amid heavy-hitting awards bait.
- Kristopher Tapley