Will Anne Hathaway, Daniel Day-Lewis, 'Homeland' and 'Modern Family' walk away winners?
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Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Richard Gere, "Arbitrage"
John Hawkes, "The Sessions"
Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master"
Denzel Washington, "Flight"
Who will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
Upset special: Denzel Washington, "Flight"
Lowdown: This is Day-Lewis all the way. The HFPA don't like to embarrassed (even when they do it to themselves anyway) and not rewarding Day-Lewis would fall into that category. Yes, the other nominees are deserving, but they aren't as revered as Day-Lewis' turn as America's 16th president.