Nominees:
Zooey Deschanel for "New Girl"
Lena Dunham for "Girls"
Tina Fey for "30 Rock"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus for "Veep"
Amy Poehler for "Parks and Recreation"

Who will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Upset special: Amy Poehler or Tina Fey
Lowdown: Julia Louis-Dreyfus' Emmy win was a complete inevitability, but she's been less of a Golden Globe favorite over the years, picking up only one win and three nominations previously. It's still such a showy, juicy performance that she has to be considered the favorite. But an easy case could be made for any of the other four actresses. Since Dunham was shut out at the Emmys, the Globes could become the first major group to hand her an award. Or maybe Zooey will pick up the win that Golden Globe logic dictates she should have won last year. But the real dark horses are Fey and Poehler, who are hosting the show. If the Foreign Press could figure out a way to do it, a Globe win would be a nice honorarium for the hosts.