Nominees:
Alec Baldwin for "30 Rock"
Don Cheadle for "House of Lies"
Louis C.K. for "Louie"
Matt LeBlanc for "Episodes"
Jim Parsons for "The Big Bang Theory"

Who will win: Don Cheadle
Upset special: Matt LeBlanc
Lowdown: Yikes. Your guess here is as good as ours. Golden Globe voters like male leads of Showtime half-hours, having rewarded David Duchovny and LeBlanc in the past. Throw in Cheadle's relative star power and that should/could lead to a likely win with the Foreign Press. Then again, LeBlanc returns for another year of winking self-parody on a show that Globe voters love and the other three nominees are awards darlings.