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Best director - Motion Picture
Ben Affleck, "Argo"
Ang Lee, "Life of Pi"
Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln"
Quentin Tarantino, "Django Unchained"
Kathryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Who will win: Ben Affleck, "Argo"
Upset special: Kathryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Lowdown: Another spread the wealth category. The HFPA are Affleck fans and if they are going to give "Lincoln" picture, he's going to find himself with the best director prize. The upset special is Bigelow, it's just unclear how much the membership really like "Zero Dark Thirty."