Who will be among the nominees?
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Ewan McGregor - 'The Impossible'
Pro: A two-time BAFTA winner and SAG, Golden Globe and Emmy nominee, McGregor is fantastic as a father who will not stop until he exhausts every option in trying to reunite his family after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami hits their Christmas vacation in Thailand. McGregor is also on something of a role. His resume includes recent critical players such as "Beginners," "The Men Who Stare at Goats," "The Ghost Writer" and "I Love You Phillip Morris." That built up critical karma might reach a tipping point if "The Impossible" is embraced by the Academy.
Con: McGregor's character disappears for a good chunk of the film's first and second act (one reason why it's not considered a lead for awards consideration). In the grand scheme of things, he might just be overshadowed by youngster Tom Holland who play's his onscreen son and is currently in the best actor race.
- Gregory Ellwood