Cannes Film Festival 2013

2012 Oscar Nominations Predictions

Who's in, who's out and where are the upsets?

2012 Oscar Predictions

2012 Oscar Predictions

After four and a half months of campaigning, awards season has entered its final stretch. On Tuesday, the Academy will announce the nominees for the 84th Academy Awards with major changes to the best picture fact in effect.  Will we have five nominees?  Six? Seven? Maybe even eight or nine?  The 5% rule means 289 first place votes are necessary to even qualify. Everyone knows "The Artist," "Hugo" and "The Descendants" will make it in and receive a slew of nominations in other categories.  
The questions are whether there are any real surprises on the horizon. Of course, there are always are, but which categories will the upset nominations occur? And how big will they be?  Check out my final predictions for this year's nominees by clicking on the slides above.  And, yes, "Bridesmaids" made the best picture cut.  Who knew?

 - Gregory Ellwood
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  • Default-avatar

    Chris

    Forgot Viggo for supporting. Oops.

    January 23, 2012 at 7:18AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Matt

    "If 'Cars 2' gets nominated it's an embarrassment to the Academy. Director and Pixar topper John Lasseter is on the Academy board and his inability to admit he made an inferior sequel to an already lame original premise..."

    Woah, why so antagonistic? I thought "Cars 2" was plenty of fun and a lot more inventive than its predecessor. It's no "WALL-E," but not every Pixar film has to be a masterpiece. I respect that you have confidence in your opinion, but I don't think a Best Animated Feature Film nomination for "Cars 2" will be universally considered an "embarrassment" by any means.

    January 23, 2012 at 7:47AM EST Reply to Comment
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      Dante Kleinberg Agreed. I get why many people preferred movies like Rango and Kung Fu Panda 2, but I saw all of those and preferred Cars 2, frankly. It was a lot of fun. Just because it didn't have the emotion or subtlety of some of Pixar's other movies doesn't mean it was garbage. If Dreamworks had made it, the Rotten Tomatoes score would have been at least double what it was.

      January 23, 2012 at 6:54PM EST
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    potty break

    Lies! Andy Serkis will be nominated. Jonah Hill? Nooooooo!

    January 23, 2012 at 11:36AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Danny

    You don't need 5% of #1 votes to qualify. Pundits keep misquoting the rules.

    There are two rounds of counting ballots. You need over 1% of #1 votes to qualify past the first round; then 5% of redistributed #2-#5 votes (from ballots whose #1 didn't reach 1% or whose #1s way overshot the needed 5% and are now proportionally reallocated as half votes or third votes) to make it to the final nominee list.

    January 23, 2012 at 12:54PM EST Reply to Comment
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    jezzleffezzle

    NICK NOLTE

    January 23, 2012 at 4:58PM EST Reply to Comment
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      Joe Agreed.

      January 23, 2012 at 5:17PM EST
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    bubbatwo420

    Was it a joke to include Bridemaids in your best picture predictions? Come on, that movie was funny but nowhere near as good as Tinker Tailor, War Horse, Warrior, Drive or Beginners.

    January 23, 2012 at 5:25PM EST Reply to Comment
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      Prettok Its not about whats good. Its about what Hitfix thinks the Academy might like.

      January 23, 2012 at 9:10PM EST