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Charlotte Gainsbourg, "Melancholia"
Pro: Gainsbourg has received just as much critical kudos as her co-star Kirsten Dunst in what many are calling a "masterpiece." As a woman trying to protect and support her mentally unbalanced sister (Dunst) -- a theme seemingly this year -- she is remarkable in the film's second half when she realizes the end of the world is truly at hand. She previously won the best actress award at the Cannes Film Festival for her leading role in Lars Von Trier's "Antichrist." Late critics' groups awards could boost her candidacy.
Con: Like Dunst, Gainsbourg may suffer or thrive because of "Melancholia's" VOD and limited art house release. The quicker screener's get out the better chance she has, but it's highly unlikely she'll land a SAG or Golden Globe nod.
[Left, Keifer Sutherland, Charlotte Gainsbourg and Kirsten Dunst in "Melancholia."]