Cannes Film Festival 2013

2012 Best Picture Oscar Contenders

How many films with Emma Stone, Ryan Gosling and Jessica Chastain make the list?

Things just ain't the same in 2012

Things just ain't the same in 2012

Things just ain't the same.  At least, that's the mantra for studios attempting to play the best picture game this year.  After two years of expanded play following the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences decision to increase the number of nominees from five to 10, the org made news by putting in a complex rule it sees as validating each nominee.  Now, instead of a guaranteed 10 nods, a film must qualify by receiving at least 5% of member first place votes.  The weighted system that previously allowed members to rank their top 10 (or five before that) will only be used if 10 potential nominees receive more than the 5% (or approximately 250) required votes.  

Got that?

The Academy also raised eyebrows by revealing that a study by its accounting firm revealed that if this system has been in place since 2001 there would have been years with 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 nominees, but never 10.  This has brought as sense of nervousness to this year's proceedings as its clear no picture is truly a "safe" bet and members are going to have to be judicious on who they place at the top of their ballot.  It will lead to some anxious moments on the Oscar nomination morning of Jan. 25, but before anyone gets too stressed yet let's run down all of this year's potential nominees.
 

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  • Default-avatar

    Danny

    You list 30 movies but don't include "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows", the film with the highest box office and the best reviews of the year so far by any measure?

    That's ludicrous.

    October 4, 2011 at 5:03PM EST Reply to Comment
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      StephenDouglas So trueee

      October 11, 2011 at 9:52AM EST
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      tintin No potter in 30 slots? Bad list.

      October 26, 2011 at 1:12AM EST
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    Jonnybon

    "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy" not making it would not be "shocking" at all. It's a very competitive year.

    Also, you don't acknowledge that "The Descendants" and "The Artist" are locks (the only two so far). How can you have more confidence in the unseen "War Horse?"

    October 4, 2011 at 6:08PM EST Reply to Comment
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    NINJINSTEVE

    WHAT THE HELL? CRAZY STUPID LOVE makes the list but not 50/50???? Why is EVERYONE ignoring this film while doing their oscar lists??

    October 4, 2011 at 7:18PM EST Reply to Comment
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    osiskars

    Tinker ,tailor ,soldier ,spy is NOT a thriller !!!! period ... its a extremely slow paste movie tinkers! ... NOT soldiers and spies!!!!!

    October 4, 2011 at 7:52PM EST Reply to Comment
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      osiskars *for thinkers .. sorry for the mistake

      October 4, 2011 at 7:53PM EST
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    Juan

    Really!!..... No Warrior

    October 4, 2011 at 8:29PM EST Reply to Comment
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    terrible

    are you paid by hitfix or by studio marketing people? this column is pathetic. just promoting unseen films pimped as oscar bait from studios

    October 4, 2011 at 9:04PM EST Reply to Comment
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    J.

    50/50 isn't a strong BP contender, but it's still miles ahead of Jane Eyre and Carnage. It has enough traction to be included here.

    October 5, 2011 at 12:04AM EST Reply to Comment
    • 50/50 is a quality film, but it's best chances are with Joseph Gordon-Levitt.

      October 5, 2011 at 2:24AM EST
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    Sandy

    Sad how eveyone is forgetting the true underdog this year... The biggest audience pleaser, runner-up to The King's Speech... A small film shot in Kenya called The First Grader... Hands down the best film released this year... It will surprise you all...

    October 8, 2011 at 2:57PM EST Reply to Comment
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      Jaz It was actually shot in South Africa but I get it; no one has pegged it for best foreign pic and it's pretty damn good

      October 15, 2011 at 3:39PM EST
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    Tiffany

    I thought 50/50 was better than Crazy Stupid Love. Loved Drive. I'm really hoping that the Girl with the Dragon Tattoo will be good, but only because I've read all the books.

    October 23, 2011 at 10:53PM EST Reply to Comment