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Felicity Jones, "Like Crazy"
Pro: The 27-year-old Brit's breakthrough earned her a special jury prize at the 2011 Sundance Film Festival for acting over strong competition from Elizabeth Olsen and Michael Shannon among others. Jones' also was nominated for the Breakthrough Award at this year's Gotham Awards. She received strong notices from the LA Times, Time, the Wall Street Journal, Rolling Stone, Variety, Entertainment Weekly…should I continue?
Con: The better "Crazy" does at the box office, the more likely Jones' chances of getting nominated -- it's that simple. If she can't land a SAG nod, however, she'll need the British contingent of the Academy to slide her in who may back Tilda Swinton instead.