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Samantha Morton, "The Messenger"
Previous nominations or wins:
Nominee, Best Actress in a Supporting Role, "Sweet and Lowdown," (2000)
Nominee, Best Actress, "In America," (2004)
Pros: An actress who consistently delivers exemplary work, Morton is fantastic as a young mother who is informed that her husband has been killed in action overseas. It's her rebound romance with the messenger of that news (Ben Foster) that makes her performance so memorable.
Cons: The movie received positive notices out of Sundance, but only tiny distributor Oscoliipe Films was willing to pick it up and distribute. A top notch PR firm is working the campaign for the film overall, but it's hard to see anyone breaking through beyond Independent Spirit Awards nominations.
[Note: Morton was previously listed under best actress until it was learned her reps plan to campaign her in supporting.]