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Alec Baldwin, "It's Complicated"
Previous nominations or wins:
Nominee, Best Actor in a Supporting Role, "The Cooler" (2004)
Pros: He's become an industry favorite for his television work on "30 Rock" (yes, that doesn't hurt), but he has a long and respected movie career and had worked with almost everyone in town. When you're well liked for so long, that can actually help you sneak in.
Cons: No one know knows how serious "Complicated" is as an awards contender, but if it has a hint of getting anyone some heat they'll have to work for it. More importantly, can Baldwin escape from shooting "30 Rock" in New York to press for votes in Los Angeles?
[Left, Meryl Streep and Alec Baldwin in a scene from "It's Complicated."]