It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas: Andrea Bocelli’s “My Christmas” is the breakout holiday title of the year. Four weeks after its release, the title is poised to climb to No. 1 on next week’s album chart, leap frogging over Susan Boyle’s “I Dreamed a Dream”… maybe.

It’s too soon to tell if Bocelli’s CD, which got a huge boost from a Nov. 30 “Oprah” appearance, will evolve into the monster that Josh Groban’s “Noel” became. The title has sold close to five million copies since its release a few years ago. Bocelli is already closing in on the million mark: this week, “My Christmas” is expected to sell up to 425,000 copies. Speaking of “Noel,” it catapults back up the chart this week (possible because of Billboard’s recent change to allow catalog titles on the Billboard 200) into the top 12.

Boyle’s “Dream,” which set records with sales of 700,000 last week, could possibly surpass “My Christmas,” but Hits Daily Double predicts it will come in around 400,000.

Previously released titles continue to dominate the chart: R. Kelly’s “Untitled” is the only CD released this week slated to enter the Top 10. Hits predicts the sex-drenched set will come in at No. 3, although Taylor Swift, riding the waves of her eight Grammys nods, may overtake him.