No one needs awards coverage this deep
Taking questions for 10/21 Oscar Talk
Offer up your burning queries
Alright, you know the drill. Rifle off your need-to-knows and Anne and I will address as many as possible. Make 'em good!
Kristopher Tapley has covered the film awards landscape for over a decade. He founded In Contention in 2005. His work has also appeared in The New York Times, The Times of London and Variety. He begs you not to take any of this too seriously.
2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
UPDATED: FEB 25, 2013
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Login or create a HitFix account Login SignupAmir
October 20, 2011 at 1:23PM EST Reply to CommentDo you think foreign film contenders who might be aiming for nominations in other categories would have benefitted from earlier release dates to build on their buzz?
I'm talking about In Darkness (Dec. 9th) and particularly A Separation (Dec. 30th). Wouldn't a screenplay nomination for the latter be an easier get if it was released a month earlier?
Alex Barbatsis
October 20, 2011 at 1:35PM EST Reply to CommentHarvey Weinstein recently was very vocal about Ides of March and how much he loves it. Do you think this is a tactic to draw attention away from the Descendants, which he may view as his biggest rival, and thus splitting the Clooney vote?
Matthew Starr I actually read another interesting take on this by Stu Van Airsdale who said Harvey was being vocal about Ides to build it up to a point where when people don't see it they are disappointed.
October 20, 2011 at 2:13PM ESTMatthew Starr I meant when people see it they are disappointed. We really need a feature here to edit our own comments after they are posted.
October 20, 2011 at 2:13PM ESTKristopher Tapley Or we really need to proof-read before we post.
October 20, 2011 at 4:20PM ESTLousyPancakeEater
October 20, 2011 at 2:19PM EST Reply to CommentBest animated feature could cause a lot of debate this year for multiple reasons - eliglibility of films that blend animation and live-action like Tintin, and number of nominees being determined by total eliblile features. The latter in particular could take a lot of heat if there are five nominees in what is widely considered a weak year for the category. While acclaimed titles like Waltz with Bashir and Tangled missed the cut in recent years with three.
My question is - what changes, if any, should be made to the animated feature category?
Damián
October 20, 2011 at 2:22PM EST Reply to CommentAlmost every year at this time, we feel that there are some acting contenders that are very strong to win an Oscar. Like Monique, Penèlope Cruz, Christoph Waltz, Reese Witherspoon and Charlize Theron, just to name a few. Do you feel something similar this year?
Dean
October 20, 2011 at 2:22PM EST Reply to CommentIm curious to hear your views on the Jeff Wells Tyrannosaur campaign. Also what's your general philosophy on advocating in what you do and could you ever see yourself actually going out on a limb like that for something you believe in?
Clarence
October 20, 2011 at 2:26PM EST Reply to CommentWhat, if anything, do the Gotham Awards mean in the Oscar race? Noting the absence of Jessica Chastain, do you think her massive number of Oscar roles this year will simply spread her votes too thin to actually break in?
David
October 20, 2011 at 2:50PM EST Reply to CommentIn the spirit NYFCC's announcement, can you and Ann be the first out of the gate and announce your top ten of the year!? In all seriousness, what are some of your favorites of the year so far? oscar-bound or not.
Matthew Starr Also while you're at it, please announce your top ten films of 2012. Thanks.
October 20, 2011 at 2:53PM ESTwisconsinkel I don't think they have seen everything yet, so it wouldn't be fair, right?
October 20, 2011 at 3:20PM ESTwisconsinkel so many films this year (Young Adult, War Horse, et. al) are waiting later to be seen, which makes it hard to predict early(ier) in the season
October 20, 2011 at 3:21PM ESTMark Johnson
October 20, 2011 at 3:00PM EST Reply to CommentWhy so much buzz for Pitt to get a Lead nom for Moneyball, and so little talk about him getting Supporting for The Tree of Life, when it should (IMO) be the other way around?
wisconsinkel
October 20, 2011 at 3:15PM EST Reply to CommentWhat do you think are the ramifications of Jessica Chastain not getting a Gotham nomination as Breakthrough Actress when the film was nominated as Best Feature? Also, was her snub due to her overexposure and gradual loss of hot-new-thing appeal?
originalsin I don't think she's enough of a house hold name to garner fatigue. I feel like people are impressed with her varied body of work this year.
October 20, 2011 at 3:18PM ESTLaura Stewart The Gotham Awards don't like making sense. Take for instance last years breakthrough winner. The obvious choice was Lawrence but nooo, they surprised us!
October 21, 2011 at 1:42AM ESToriginalsin
October 20, 2011 at 3:17PM EST Reply to CommentDo you think the British monarchy might back The Artist since instead of TTSS? If so, what movie do you think has the best chance of sneaking into the Picture race?
loyal_mehnert
October 20, 2011 at 3:27PM EST Reply to CommentObviously there's only one question worth asking today: Who should play Moammar Gadhafi in the inevitable biopic?
Matthew Starr Philip Seymour Hoffman.
October 20, 2011 at 3:36PM ESTAndrej Carlos Santana.
October 20, 2011 at 3:41PM ESTKristopher Tapley Steve Buscemi
October 20, 2011 at 4:24PM ESTAndrej
October 20, 2011 at 3:50PM EST Reply to CommentWhatever happened to J.Edgar? I know the trailer's not the best thing around but it wasn't terrible either, yet the conversation around it seemed to have died down considerably lately.
Laura Stewart I second this. Plus, those not-so-successful screenings in Carmel didn't help the cause.
October 20, 2011 at 4:37PM ESTMatthew Starr I think at this point it would be shocking if Eastwood actually were to deliver a quality film.
October 20, 2011 at 9:01PM ESTBen
October 20, 2011 at 4:10PM EST Reply to CommentIt seems every year there are at least a couple films where the initial critical response or even a response or blurb from a single critic completely defines (often unfairly) the way all film journalists and many cinephiles talk about the film. The initial Venice response to Ides of March as "good, but not telling us anything new" has completely consumed the critical consensus, and even the defenders of the film are compelled to address this claim by saying "it may not be full of revelations, but..." Similarly, a blurb from Peter Travers calling The Social Network generation defining singularly defined the way (both proponents and detractors of the film) we all talked about the film. It seems to be the groupthink that surrounds many of these films (especially those on the festival circuit) is quite unhealthy and creates unfair and unrealizable expectations, when viewers have a narrative in place even before many of them see the film. Any thoughts from you and Anne on this?
m1
October 20, 2011 at 4:26PM EST Reply to CommentCould Win Win get in the Best Picture race if Fox Searchlight campaigns for it?
Laura Stewart
October 20, 2011 at 4:42PM EST Reply to CommentJust looking over your Contender's side-bar, I noticed Midnight in Paris isn't really in the discussion (besides original screenplay), what do you guys think about its chances BP-wise? Also, do you think there is any chance of Tate Taylor sneaking in the Best Director category? Long shot, but just wondering.
Jeff N.
October 20, 2011 at 5:38PM EST Reply to CommentWill Jeff Wells' having raised funds for a "Tyrannosaur" screening actually help Olivia Colman get an Oscar nom? If so, who does she bump out?
Evan
October 20, 2011 at 5:55PM EST Reply to CommentThis year feels so wide open right now. I know Anne is loathe to make predictions on things yet unseen, but do you think it will remain a contested year or do you think that as we get closer to nomination day, there will be a virtual coronation as in most other years? (As an aside, what situations make for a down-to-the-wire year?) How, if at all, will the NYFCC's date change affect the early Oscar season?
Danny
October 20, 2011 at 6:48PM EST Reply to CommentBTW, in the Contenders sidebar you show pics of movies that aren't listed as the projected nominees (under Director, Actor, Actress, Costume, Editing and Sound Editing). Is that intentional, and if, why?
Danny OK. I think I see the reasons now that I've looked at the full contenders section. Still, it comes across as odd in the sidebar.
October 20, 2011 at 6:59PM ESTAnita
October 20, 2011 at 7:50PM EST Reply to CommentCan you explain all this talk of The Artist "fading" and "dying down" and its 'good bet' status being "over-estimated"? Is it just on this site or it this a widespread opinion? I have little doubt that once its campaign starts proper and once it has actually been seen by the general public, its buzz will be as loud as ever. Just because there isn't a new trailer or poster for it every week doesn't mean people have forgotten about it. Right? (And I know you're not too hot on it, Kris, but I appreciate that you still include it as a big player in many categories).
DylanS
October 21, 2011 at 1:01AM EST Reply to CommentI think it's general consensus that we currently lack a definitive front-runner at this stage in the game, whereas in recent years we have had one (though the front-runner may have changed over the course the season) by this time. How do you think this may effect the overall shape of the BP field at the end of the day?