Cannes Film Festival 2013

Share your SAG and Globe nominee predictions

The last major precursors of the year land in the next two days

<p>Bryce Dallas Howard, Sissy Spacek and Octavia Spencer in "The Help," likely to receive a Best Ensemble SAG nomination tomorrow morning.</p>

Bryce Dallas Howard, Sissy Spacek and Octavia Spencer in "The Help," likely to receive a Best Ensemble SAG nomination tomorrow morning.

Credit: Walt Disney Pictures

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It's been a pretty relentless week for precursor announcements, and we're not over the hump yet: tomorrow brings the Screen Actors' Guild nominations, Thursday the Golden Globe list, and then we can all go more or less into holiday mode until the other guilds reignite the conversation in January. (Well, out of loyalty, I must point out that the London Critics' Circle, of which I am a member, announce their nominations next week.)

Some of you have requested a space to offer your own predictions (or wishlists, as you prefer) for the SAG and Globe nominees; as always, we aim to please, so here it is. I've got the ball rolling with my own SAG predictions after the jump -- I haven't the energy to take on the Globes, but maybe I will tomorrow. I'm particularly intrigued to see how SAG fills out its ensemble category: they tend to veer between using it to honor genuine ensemble pieces and lazily checking off supposed Best Picture frontrunners, regardless of the ensemble quality. Will "Hugo" and "War Horse" feature, despite not being major acting showcases? We'll see. Either way, I expect "The Help" to have a good morning. How about you?

Best Ensemble

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"The Artist"
"Bridesmaids"
"The Descendants"
"The Help"
"Midnight in Paris"

Best Actor
George Clooney, "The Descendants"
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Michael Shannon, "Take Shelter"

Best Actress
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
Tilda Swinton, "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"

Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
Albert Brooks, "Drive"
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "The Ides of March"
Nick Nolte, "Warrior"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"

Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
Melissa McCarthy, "Bridesmaids"
Vanessa Redgrave, "Coriolanus"
Octavia Spencer, "The Help"

Best Stunt Ensemble
"Fast Five"
"Rise of the Planet of the Apes"
"Transformers: Dark of the Moon" 

For more views on movies, awards season and other pursuits, follow @GuyLodge on Twitter.

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Guy Lodge
Critic
Guy Lodge is a South African-born critic and sometime screenwriter. In addition to his work at In Contention, he is a freelance contributor to Variety, Time Out, Empire and The Guardian. He lives well beyond his means in London.

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  • Default-avatar

    Daniel Crooke

    Best Ensemble
    The Artist
    Bridesmaids
    The Descendants
    Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    The Help

    Best Actor
    George Clooney, The Descendants
    Jean Dujardin, The Artist
    Michael Fassbender, Shame
    Brad Pitt, Moneyball
    Michael Shannon, Take Shelter

    Best Actress
    Viola Davis, The Help
    Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
    Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
    Charlize Theron, Young Adult
    Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

    Best Supporting Actor
    Albert Brooks, Drive
    Jonah Hill, Moneyball
    Nick Nolte, Warrior
    Christopher Plummer, Beginners
    Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

    Best Supporting Actress
    Jessica Chastain, The Help
    Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
    Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
    Octavia Spencer, The Help
    Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

    Best Stunt Ensemble
    Fast Five
    Rise of the Planet of the Apes
    Super 8

    December 13, 2011 at 10:59PM EST Reply to Comment
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    eurocheese

    Alright, let me give it a whirl:

    Ensemble - The Artist, Bridesmaids, The Descendants, The Help, Hugo

    Actor - Clooney, Dujardin, Fassbender (Shame), Oldman, Pitt

    Actress - Close, Davis, Streep, Swinton, Williams

    S. Actor - Branagh, Brooks, Kingsley, Nolte, Plummer

    A. Actress - Bejo, Chastain (Tree of Life), McCarthy, Redgrave, Spencer

    December 13, 2011 at 11:02PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Images_talkback_profile

    Laura Stewart

    SAG Predictions:

    Best Ensemble
    "The Artist" (*cringes*)
    "The Help"
    "Bridesmaids"
    "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"
    "The Descendants"
    Wishing: "Ides of March"

    Best Actor
    George Clooney, "The Descendants"
    Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
    Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
    Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
    Gary Oldman, "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"
    Wishing: Ryan Gosling, "Drive" or Hunter McCracken "The Tree of Life"

    Best Actress
    Viola Davis, "The Help"
    Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
    Tilda Swinton, "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
    Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"
    Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"
    Wishing: No Glenn Close or Rooney Mara... lets stick with the above 5 :)

    Best Supporting Actor
    Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
    Albert Brooks, "Drive"
    Patton Oswalt, "Young Adult"
    Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
    Ben Kingsley, "Hugo"
    Wishing: George Clooney, Ides of March" or Brad Pitt, "The Tree of Life"


    Best Supporting Actress
    Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
    Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
    Octavia Spencer, "The Help"
    Shailene Woodley, "The Descendants"
    Melissa McCarthy, "Bridesmaids"
    Wishing: Rose Byrne, "Bridesmaids" or Evan Rachel Wood, "Ides of March"

    December 13, 2011 at 11:03PM EST Reply to Comment
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    Frank Lee

    I don't understand how the SAG voters (over 4,000 of them!) are able to watch late entries like "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close" prior to voting if their votes have to be tabulated by December 14.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:06PM EST Reply to Comment
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      glebe The SAG has a smaller nominating committee. Full membership votes for winners.

      December 13, 2011 at 11:39PM EST
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      glebe Nevermind, just realized 4200 *is* the nominating committee. Yikes. (2100 film, 2100 TV)

      December 14, 2011 at 10:37AM EST
  • Poo_talkback_profile

    Andrej

    I'll put my No Guts No Glory face for these.

    Best Ensemble:
    - The Artist
    - Drive
    - The Help
    - Moneyball
    - My Week With Marilyn

    Best Actor:
    - George Clooney, The Descendants
    - Jean Dujardin, The Artist
    - Michael Fassbender, Shame
    - Ryan Gosling, Drive
    - Brad Pitt, Moneyball

    Best Actress:
    - Viola Davis, The Help
    - Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
    - Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
    - Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
    - Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

    Best Supporting Actor:
    - Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marylin
    - Albert Brooks, Drive
    - John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene
    - Christopher Plummer, Beginners
    - Corey Stoll, Midnight In Paris

    Best Supporting Actress:
    - Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
    - Jessica Chastain, The Help
    - Carey Mulligan, Shame
    - Octavia Spencer, The Help
    - Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

    December 13, 2011 at 11:08PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Poo_talkback_profile

      Andrej Oh. I forgot...

      Best Stunt Ensemble:
      - Captain America: The First Avenger
      - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol
      - Transformers: Dark Of The Moon

      December 13, 2011 at 11:10PM EST
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    Aaron McMahon

    Drama Picture

    1 War Horse
    2 The Help
    3 The Descendants
    4 Extremely Loud and Incredibly
    5 Hugo
    Drama Actor

    1 George Clooney
    -The Descendants
    2 Leonardo DiCaprio
    -J. Edgar
    3 Brad Pitt (1/50)
    -Moneyball
    4 Michael Fassbender
    -Shame
    5 Gary Oldman
    -Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
    Drama Actress

    1 Viola Davis
    -The Help
    2 Meryl Streep
    -The Iron Lady
    3 Glenn Close
    -Albert Nobbs
    4 Elizabeth Olsen
    -Martha Marcy May Marlene
    5 Kirsten Dunst
    -Melancholia
    Comedy/Musical Picture

    1 The Artist
    2 Midnight in Paris
    3 Bridesmaids
    4 Beginners
    5 Young Adult

    Comedy/Musical Actor

    1 Jean Dujardin
    -The Artist
    2 Owen Wilson
    -Midnight in Paris
    3 Johnny Depp
    -The Rum Diary
    4 Paul Giamatti
    -Win Win
    5 Joseph Gordon Levitt
    -50 50
    Comedy/Musical Actress

    1 Charlize Theron
    -Young Adult
    2 Michelle Williams
    -My Week with Marilyn
    3 Kristen Wiig
    -Bridesmaids
    4 Berenice Bejo
    -The Artist
    5 Cameron Diaz
    -Bad Teacher
    Director
    1 Michel Hazanavicius
    -The Artist
    2 Steven Spielberg
    -War Horse
    3 Alexander Payne
    -The Descendants
    4 Martin Scorsese
    -Hugo
    5 Woody Allen
    -Midnight in Paris
    Supp. Actor

    1 Christopher Plummer
    -Beginners
    2 Max von Sydow
    -Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    3 Albert Brooks
    -Drive
    4 George Clooney
    -The Ides of March
    5 Tom Hanks
    -Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

    Supp. Actress

    1 Jessica Chastain
    -The Help
    2 Vanessa Redgrave
    -Coriolanus
    3 Octavia Spencer
    -The Help
    4 Sandra Bullock
    -Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
    5 Shailene Woodley
    -The Descendants

    December 13, 2011 at 11:15PM EST Reply to Comment
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    JJ1

    SAG -
    Best Actor - Clooney, Dujardin, Fassbender, Oldman, Pitt (Moneyball).
    Best Actress - Close, Davis, Streep, Theron, Williams.
    Best Supp. Actor - Branagh, Brooks, Oswalt, Plummer, Serkis.
    Best Supp. Actress - Bejo, McCarthy, Mulligan, Spencer, Woodley.

    SAG Ensemble - The Artist, Bridesmaids, The Descendants, The Help, Hugo (close call with Ides).

    Golden Globes (trickier, not sure of the drama/comedy musical placements -

    Best Drama - Descendants, Extremely Loud, The Help, Hugo, War Horse.
    Best Comedy/Musical - The Artist, Bridesmaids, Crazy Stupid Love, Midnight in Paris, The Muppets.
    Best Actor Drama - Clooney, Damon (Zoo), DiCaprio, Fassbender, Pitt (Moneyball).
    Best Actor - C/M - Carrell, Dujardin, Giamatti, Gordon-Levitt, Timberlake (Friends with Benefits).
    Best Actress Drama - Close, Davis, Mara, Streep, Swinton.
    Best Actress C/M - Aniston (Horrible Bosses), Kunis (Friends with Benefits), Theron, Wiig, Williams.
    Best Supp. Actor - Brooks, Gosling (CSL), Oswalt, Plummer, Serkis.
    Best Supp. Actress - Bullock, Chastain (Help), McCarthy, Redgrave, Spencer.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:18PM EST Reply to Comment
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    Billyboy

    The Globes are fun to predict. Usually there's a Tom Cruise waiting to pop up in the Supporting Categories. Here's my wacky-Golden Globe Predictions:

    Actor, Comedy:
    Robert Downey Jr, Sherlock Holmes 2

    Supporting Actor:
    Kevin Spacey, Horrible Bosses
    Adrien Brody, Midnight in Paris

    Supporting Actress:
    Sandra Bullock, EL&IC
    Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
    Jennifer Aniston, Horrible Bosses

    As for the SAG's I only expect to see Gary Oldman, Fassbender and Midnight in Paris (Ensemble) getting nods.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:21PM EST Reply to Comment
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    JJ1

    Oh, and Director and Screenplay at Globes -

    Director - The Artist, The Descendants, Extremely Loud, Hugo, War Horse.

    Screenplay - The Artist, The Descendants, Extremely Loud, The Help, Hugo.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:22PM EST Reply to Comment
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    JJ1

    Guy, I see you did not include Woodley in your Supporting Actress ...... if only.

    As I've said before, nothing against the girl, I just don't see what the big-to-do is with the performance.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:25PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Default-avatar

      glebe Everyone's entranced by her legs

      December 13, 2011 at 11:46PM EST
  • Hal_9000_talkback_profile

    DylanS

    SAG
    Best Ensemble-
    "The Help"
    "The Descendants"
    "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"
    "The Artist"
    "Hugo"

    Best Actor-
    Gary Oldman "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"
    Michael Fassbender "Shame"
    George Clooney "The Descendants"
    Jean Dujardin "The Artist"
    Brad Pitt "Moneyball"

    Best Actress-
    Charlize Theron "Young Adult"
    Tilda Swinton "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
    Meryl Streep "The Iron lady"
    Viola Davis "The Help"
    Michelle Williams "My Week with Marilyn"

    Best Supporting Actor-
    Albert Brooks "Drive"
    Christopher Plummer "Beginners"
    Jonah Hill "Moneyball"
    Nick Nolte "Warrior"
    Kenneth Branagh "My Week with Marilyn"

    Best Supporting Actress-
    Jessica Chastain "The Help"
    Octavia Spencer "The Help"
    Vanessa Redgrave "Coriolanus"
    Shailene Woodley "The Descendants"
    Carrey Muligan "Shame"


    December 13, 2011 at 11:25PM EST Reply to Comment
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    Joe S.

    SAG:

    Best Ensemble: The Artist, The Descendants, The Help, Hugo, Midnight in Paris

    Best Actor: George Clooney, Leonardo DiCaprio, Jean Dujardin, Michael Fassbender, Brad Pitt

    Best Actress: Glenn Close, Viola Davis, Meryl Streep, Charlize Theron, Michelle Williams

    Best Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh, Albert Brooks, Nick Nolte, Patton Oswalt, Christopher Plummer

    Best Supporting Actress: Berenice Bejo, Jessica Chastain (in "The Help"), Melissa McCarthy, Octavia Spencer, Shailene Woodley

    And as for Best Stunt Ensemble...I have no idea...I'll just steal Guy's predictions.

    December 13, 2011 at 11:32PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Hal_9000_talkback_profile

    DylanS

    Golden Globes
    Best Picture (Drama)-
    The Descendants
    War Horse
    Moneyball
    Hugo
    Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

    Best Picture (Musical/Comedy)-
    Midnight in Paris
    The Artist
    Bridesmaids
    The Muppets
    Young Adult

    Best Actor (Drama)
    George Clooney "The Descendants"
    Brad Pitt "Moneyball"
    Ryan Gosling "The Ides of March"
    Leonardo Dicaprio "J. Edgar"
    Gary Oldman "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy"

    Best Actor (Comedy)-
    Jean Dujardin "The Artist"
    Owen Wilson "Midnight in Paris"
    Joseph Gordon Levitt "50/50"
    Steve Carrell "Crazy Stupid Love"
    Paul Giamatti "Win, Win"

    Best Actress (Drama)-
    Meryl Streep "The Iron Lady"
    Viola Davis "The Help"
    Kirsten Dunst "Melancholia"
    Glen Close "Albert Nobbs"
    Rooney Mara "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"

    Best Actress (Comedy)-
    Michelle Williams "My Week with Marilyn"
    Charlize Theron "Young Adult"
    Berenice Bejo "The Artist"
    Kristen Wiig "Bridesmaids"
    Mila Kunis "Friends with Benefits"

    Best Supporting Actor-
    Jonah Hill "Moneyball"
    Kenneth Branagh "My Week with Marilyn"
    Albert Brooks "Drive"
    Max von Sydow "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"
    Brad Pitt "The Tree of Life"

    Best Supporting Actress-
    Melissa McCarthy "Bridesmaids"
    Octavia Spencer "The Help"
    Sandra Bullock "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"
    Shailene Woodley "The Descendants"
    Vanessa Redgrave "Coriolanus"

    December 13, 2011 at 11:51PM EST Reply to Comment
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    forg

    I was one of those who tweeted/requested for a SAG and GG prediction thread :D Thanks Guy for making this one!

    My SAG predictions:

    Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

    The Artist
    Hugo
    The Descendants
    The Help
    Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

    George Clooney (The Descendants)
    Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
    Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
    Michael Fassbender (Shame)
    Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

    Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
    Viola Davis (The Help)
    Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
    Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
    Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

    Albert Brooks (Drive)
    Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
    Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
    Brad Pitt (Tree of Life)
    Ben Kingsley (Hugo)

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

    Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
    Jessica Chastain (The Help)
    Octavia Spencer (The Help)
    Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
    Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)

    Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

    Transformers: Dark of the Moon
    Harry Potter and The Deathly Hollows Part 2
    Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol

    December 13, 2011 at 11:59PM EST Reply to Comment
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    Mr.F

    Ensemble- The Artist, Bridesmaids, The Descendants, The Help, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

    Actor- Clooney, DiCaprio, DuJardin, Oldman, Pitt

    Actress- Davis, Streep, Swinton, Theron, Williams

    S. Actor- Brooks, Hill, Kingsley, Oswald, Plummer

    S. Actress- Chastain (The Help), McCarthy, Redgrave, Spencer, Woodley

    Stunt- Captain America, Rise of the Planet of the Apes, Transformers

    December 14, 2011 at 12:18AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Dan

    Girl with the Dragon Tattoo will have a very strong showing.

    December 14, 2011 at 12:24AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Guest Guesto

    "Will "Hugo" and "War Horse" feature, despite not being major acting showcases? "

    Correction, they ARE acting showcases, War Horse especially with very strong perfromances. Just because they are not singled out or were not singled out doesn't mean they don't have good acting.

    December 14, 2011 at 12:33AM EST Reply to Comment
    • Guypic_talkback_profile

      Guy Lodge "...doesn't mean they don't have good acting."

      Which is not what I said. You're twisting the argument.

      December 14, 2011 at 6:00AM EST
  • Default-avatar

    cineJAB

    Ensemble:
    The Artist
    Bridesmaids
    Harry Potter
    The Help
    Midnight In Paris

    Actor:
    Fassbender, Shame
    DiCaprio, J. Edgar
    Clooney, Descendants
    Gosling, Drive
    Pitt, Moneyball

    Actress:
    Theron, Young Adult
    Streep, The Iron Lady
    Davis, The Help
    Williams, Marilyn
    Mara, Dragon Tattoo

    S. Actor:
    Brooks, Drive
    Kingsley, Hugo
    Stoll, Midnight In Paris
    Plummer, Beginners
    Hammer, J. Edgar

    S. Actress:
    Spencer, The Help
    Chastain, The Help
    Howard, The Help
    Woodley, The Descendants
    McCarthy, Bridesmaids

    December 14, 2011 at 12:55AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Paul Outlaw

    SAG Motion Picture Nomination Predix

    Outstanding Performance by the Cast of a Motion Picture
    "The Artist"
    "Bridesmaids"
    "The Descendants"
    "The Help"
    "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
    George Clooney, "The Descendants"
    Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
    Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
    Gary Oldman, "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"
    Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
    Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
    Viola Davis, "The Help"
    Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
    Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"
    Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"

    Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
    Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
    Albert Brooks, "Drive"
    Robert Forster, "The Descendants"
    Patton Oswalt, "Young Adult"
    Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"

    Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
    Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
    Melissa McCarthy, "Bridesmaids"
    Carey Mulligan, “Shame”
    Vanessa Redgrave, "Coriolanus"
    Octavia Spencer, "The Help"

    Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble "Drive"
    "Rise of the Planet of the Apes"
    "War Horse"

    December 14, 2011 at 2:44AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Ellsworth

    Wouldn't be surprised to see Thomas Horn receive a nomination now that I've seen his amazing performance - I could hear fellow guild members raving about him as we walked out

    December 14, 2011 at 2:56AM EST Reply to Comment
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    Jake D

    Actor- Clooney, Pitt, Dujardin, Oldman, Gosling (Drive)
    Actress- Streep, Davis, Williams, Theron, Olsen
    Supporting Actor- Brooks, Plummer, Horn, Branagh, Kingsley
    Supporting Actress- Chastain, Spencer, Woodley, Redgrave, McCarthy
    Ensemble- Artist, Bridesmaids, Help, Descendants, Hugo
    Stunt- Super 8, Pirates, Harry Potter

    December 14, 2011 at 4:32AM EST Reply to Comment

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