Guy Lodge predicts...
UPDATED: 2/20/13
Best Picture
"Argo"
(alt. "Silver Linings Playbook")
Best Director
Ang Lee, "Life of Pi"
(alt. Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln")
Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
(alt. Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master")
Best Actress
Emmanuelle Riva, "Amour"
(alt. Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook")
Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz, "Django Unchained"
(alt. Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln")
Best Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway, "Les Misérables"
(alt. Helen Hunt, "The Sessions")
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"Argo"
(alt. "Silver Linings Playbook")
Best Writing (Original Screenplay)
"Amour"
(alt. "Django Unchained")
Best Cinematography
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")
Best Costume Design
"Anna Karenina"
(alt. "Mirror Mirror")
Best Film Editing
"Argo"
(alt. "Zero Dark Thirty")
Best Makeup
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey"
(alt. "Les Misérables")
Best Music (Original Score)
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")
Best Music (Original Song)
"Skyfall" from "Skyfall"
(alt. "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from "Ted")
Best Production Design
"Anna Karenina"
(alt. "Life of Pi")
Best Sound Editing
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")
Best Sound Mixing
"Les Misérables"
(alt. "Life of Pi")
Best Visual Effects
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey")
Best Foreign Language Film
"Amour" (Austria)
(alt. "War Witch" - Canada)
Best Animated Feature Film
"Frankenweenie"
(alt. "Brave")
Best Documentary Feature
"Searching for Sugar Man"
(alt. "The Invisible War")
Best Documentary Short
"Open Heart"
(alt. "Mondays at Racine")
Best Short Film (Animated)
"Adam and Dog"
(alt. "Paperman")
Best Short Film (Live Action)
"Curfew"
(alt. "Death of a Shadow")
2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actor
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup And Hairstyling
Best Original Score
Best Original Song
Best Production Design
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects
Best Animated Feature Film
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Language Film
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Login or create a HitFix account Login SignupPatryk
December 7, 2011 at 11:36PM EST Reply to CommentWow. No "Moneyball" or "Hugo" for Best Picture? I think both have solid and well deserved shots at a nomination. In fact, "Hugo" might actually win.
Trex
January 4, 2012 at 11:42PM EST Reply to CommentDiCaprio and Close are out? Brad Pitt with two nods? Whoa. Bold predictions. Are these "what you really think" or "what you really want"? Can't see Rooney Mara jumping over Close, Theron, or even Olsen. Oldman is a little more understandable and I would love if that were to come true.
Guy Lodge Given the predictions for The Descendants and War Horse, I think it's pretty clear this isn't a wish list. But I get bored with the whole process if I don't take a few chances.
January 4, 2012 at 11:52PM ESTAnd I think most pundits would agree that Mara has more heat than Olsen and Theron right now, much as I wish that weren't the case.
Andrew F
January 5, 2012 at 10:57AM EST Reply to CommentVery interesting predictions on Director -- I'm also predicting a Spielberg snub there. I just don't see a very passionate response to the film: more respect than adoration, and I think the director branch may sneak in someone with a tight group of supporters. My (foolish) guess? Refn for "Drive".
And you know what? I'm also not confident in Payne. I think he'll get in, but I wouldn't be terribly shocked if he misses out nomination morning. And continuing on my 'what if?' surprises, "Moneyball" gets noms for Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Score. BAM.
Oscar
January 23, 2012 at 5:29AM EST Reply to CommentThe Academy Awards should be cancelled for this year. The fact that an inferior silent movie is even being considered for nomination in the sound category speaks volumes to how mr. Weinstein has onxe again corrupted the
Hollyward awards process. Ignore this week's nominations, like rhe industry has ignored it's customers and Hollywood's tradition of making at least a handful of films each year that aren't horrible and of the lowest possible quality for the highest possible amount of money.
Dieter
January 23, 2012 at 6:26AM EST Reply to CommentWe seem to have the same hunch about Tinker Tailor doing rather well come nomination morning. For the lone director nod I'm leaning towards Winding Refn though. And I have a hunch that Fassbender (I consider him a lock) might (deservedly) pull in Mulligan in supporting. My full predictions for the top 10 categories are here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r7GZ_i_G868
RichardA
January 23, 2012 at 11:42AM EST Reply to CommentGary Oldman is so in.
Win Win will get a nod.
I agree with the TTSS's late surge. Will pick up plenty of the pretty awards.
Kristopher Tapley
January 23, 2012 at 3:43PM EST Reply to CommentHey guys. FYI, take this conversation over to Guy's thread:
I meant to close the comments here because this will be a mainstay post for each season.
Kristopher Tapley
January 23, 2012 at 3:44PM EST Reply to CommentFYI: http://www.hitfix.com/blogs/in-contention/posts/final-oscar-nominee-predictions
Jorge
February 24, 2012 at 9:10PM EST Reply to CommentThis is my ballot (right now, not final) except for editing. I just have to convince myself they are more thoughtful than that. The artist is dead last in that category, to me, and I'm buoyed by last year to think they won't vote straight ticket below the mains.
kyled13
October 4, 2012 at 2:51PM EST Reply to CommentYou think Rebel Wilson could pull a Melissa McCarthy this year? I would love to agree with you, but she doesn't have any one scene to get nominated for like McCarthy then. She could definitely get some critics noms(and maybe wins) for her performance with such an unsure field at the moment. Here's hoping you're right!
Thomas
November 8, 2012 at 3:32PM EST Reply to CommentI really don't understand how Nolan's films get recognized for achievement in the sound categories. I always find them to be an aural assault of confusing extraneous noise and soundtrack mixed so high that the combination leaves dialogue in final moments confused at best.
Alex Thomas
January 9, 2013 at 6:21PM EST Reply to CommentInteresting predictions, highly invested in Amour.
I personally don't see it getting a Best Picture nom, with Moonrise Kingdom to replace it (Django to get in as well). Hugh Jackman will certainly get a nomination and I'd take Watts over Wallis/Riva.
Agreed on animated and documentary categories.
A Royal Affair + Kon-Tiki were both fantastic, I hope they both get nominations alongside The Intouchables, Amour and probably No too.
Not long now!
marshmeli
February 21, 2013 at 1:57PM EST Reply to CommentSo you think Christoph will win Supporting Actor? Glad to hear that, I wasn't sure he had enough steam, but he would be my pick.
Amanda
February 21, 2013 at 7:03PM EST Reply to Commenteveryone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence
Amanda
February 21, 2013 at 7:04PM EST Reply to Commenteveryone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence.
Guy Lodge She already won? Did I sleep through the weekend?
February 23, 2013 at 10:06AM EST