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Guy Lodge predicts...

By Guy LodgeMonday, Sep 19, 2011 6:00 AM

UPDATED: 2/20/13

Lincoln

Best Picture
"Argo"
(alt. "Silver Linings Playbook")

Best Director
Ang Lee, "Life of Pi"
(alt. Steven Spielberg, "Lincoln")

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
(alt. Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master")

Best Actress
Emmanuelle Riva, "Amour"
(alt. Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook")

Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz, "Django Unchained"
(alt. Tommy Lee Jones, "Lincoln")

Best Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway, "Les Misérables"
(alt. Helen Hunt, "The Sessions")

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"Argo"
(alt. "Silver Linings Playbook")

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)
"Amour"
(alt. "Django Unchained")

Best Cinematography
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")

Best Costume Design
"Anna Karenina"
(alt. "Mirror Mirror")

Best Film Editing
"Argo"
(alt. "Zero Dark Thirty")

Best Makeup
"The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey"
(alt. "Les Misérables")

Best Music (Original Score)
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")

Best Music (Original Song)
"Skyfall" from "Skyfall"
(alt. "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from "Ted")

Best Production Design
"Anna Karenina"
(alt. "Life of Pi")

Best Sound Editing
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "Skyfall")

Best Sound Mixing
"Les Misérables"
(alt. "Life of Pi")

Best Visual Effects
"Life of Pi"
(alt. "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey")

Best Foreign Language Film
"Amour" (Austria)
(alt. "War Witch" - Canada)

Best Animated Feature Film
"Frankenweenie"
(alt. "Brave")

Best Documentary Feature
"Searching for Sugar Man"
(alt. "The Invisible War")

Best Documentary Short
"Open Heart"
(alt. "Mondays at Racine")

Best Short Film (Animated)
"Adam and Dog"
(alt. "Paperman")

Best Short Film (Live Action)
"Curfew"
(alt. "Death of a Shadow")

Guy Lodge
Critic

Guy Lodge is a South African-born critic and sometime screenwriter. In addition to his work at In Contention, he is a freelance contributor to Variety, Time Out, Empire and The Guardian. He lives well beyond his means in London.

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Patryk

Wow. No "Moneyball" or "Hugo" for Best Picture? I think both have solid and well deserved shots at a nomination. In fact, "Hugo" might actually win.
December 7, 2011 at 11:36PM EST Reply to Comment
Trex

DiCaprio and Close are out? Brad Pitt with two nods? Whoa. Bold predictions. Are these "what you really think" or "what you really want"? Can't see Rooney Mara jumping over Close, Theron, or even Olsen. Oldman is a little more understandable and I would love if that were to come true.
January 4, 2012 at 11:42PM EST Reply to Comment
- Guy Lodge Given the predictions for The Descendants and War Horse, I think it's pretty clear this isn't a wish list. But I get bored with the whole process if I don't take a few chances.
  
  And I think most pundits would agree that Mara has more heat than Olsen and Theron right now, much as I wish that weren't the case.
  January 4, 2012 at 11:52PM EST
Andrew F

Very interesting predictions on Director -- I'm also predicting a Spielberg snub there. I just don't see a very passionate response to the film: more respect than adoration, and I think the director branch may sneak in someone with a tight group of supporters. My (foolish) guess? Refn for "Drive".
And you know what? I'm also not confident in Payne. I think he'll get in, but I wouldn't be terribly shocked if he misses out nomination morning. And continuing on my 'what if?' surprises, "Moneyball" gets noms for Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Score. BAM.
January 5, 2012 at 10:57AM EST Reply to Comment
Oscar

The Academy Awards should be cancelled for this year. The fact that an inferior silent movie is even being considered for nomination in the sound category speaks volumes to how mr. Weinstein has onxe again corrupted the
Hollyward awards process. Ignore this week's nominations, like rhe industry has ignored it's customers and Hollywood's tradition of making at least a handful of films each year that aren't horrible and of the lowest possible quality for the highest possible amount of money.
January 23, 2012 at 5:29AM EST Reply to Comment
Dieter

We seem to have the same hunch about Tinker Tailor doing rather well come nomination morning. For the lone director nod I'm leaning towards Winding Refn though. And I have a hunch that Fassbender (I consider him a lock) might (deservedly) pull in Mulligan in supporting. My full predictions for the top 10 categories are here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r7GZ_i_G868
January 23, 2012 at 6:26AM EST Reply to Comment
RichardA

Gary Oldman is so in.
Win Win will get a nod.

I agree with the TTSS's late surge. Will pick up plenty of the pretty awards.
January 23, 2012 at 11:42AM EST Reply to Comment
Kristopher Tapley

Hey guys. FYI, take this conversation over to Guy's thread:

I meant to close the comments here because this will be a mainstay post for each season.
January 23, 2012 at 3:43PM EST Reply to Comment
Kristopher Tapley

FYI: http://www.hitfix.com/blogs/in-contention/posts/final-oscar-nominee-predictions
January 23, 2012 at 3:44PM EST Reply to Comment
Jorge

This is my ballot (right now, not final) except for editing. I just have to convince myself they are more thoughtful than that. The artist is dead last in that category, to me, and I'm buoyed by last year to think they won't vote straight ticket below the mains.
February 24, 2012 at 9:10PM EST Reply to Comment
kyled13

You think Rebel Wilson could pull a Melissa McCarthy this year? I would love to agree with you, but she doesn't have any one scene to get nominated for like McCarthy then. She could definitely get some critics noms(and maybe wins) for her performance with such an unsure field at the moment. Here's hoping you're right!
October 4, 2012 at 2:51PM EST Reply to Comment
Thomas

I really don't understand how Nolan's films get recognized for achievement in the sound categories. I always find them to be an aural assault of confusing extraneous noise and soundtrack mixed so high that the combination leaves dialogue in final moments confused at best.
November 8, 2012 at 3:32PM EST Reply to Comment
Alex Thomas

Interesting predictions, highly invested in Amour.

I personally don't see it getting a Best Picture nom, with Moonrise Kingdom to replace it (Django to get in as well). Hugh Jackman will certainly get a nomination and I'd take Watts over Wallis/Riva.

Agreed on animated and documentary categories.

A Royal Affair + Kon-Tiki were both fantastic, I hope they both get nominations alongside The Intouchables, Amour and probably No too.

Not long now!
January 9, 2013 at 6:21PM EST Reply to Comment
marshmeli

So you think Christoph will win Supporting Actor? Glad to hear that, I wasn't sure he had enough steam, but he would be my pick.
February 21, 2013 at 1:57PM EST Reply to Comment
Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence
February 21, 2013 at 7:03PM EST Reply to Comment
Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence.
February 21, 2013 at 7:04PM EST Reply to Comment
- Guy Lodge She already won? Did I sleep through the weekend?
  February 23, 2013 at 10:06AM EST

2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

UPDATED: FEB 25, 2013

Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Best Cinematography

Best Costume Design

Best Film Editing

Best Makeup And Hairstyling

Best Original Score

Best Original Song

Best Production Design

Best Sound Editing

Best Sound Mixing

Best Visual Effects

Best Animated Feature Film

Best Documentary Feature

Best Foreign Language Film

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Guy Lodge predicts...

Comments

Patryk

Wow. No "Moneyball" or "Hugo" for Best Picture? I think both have solid and well deserved shots at a nomination. In fact, "Hugo" might actually win.

Trex

DiCaprio and Close are out? Brad Pitt with two nods? Whoa. Bold predictions. Are these "what you really think" or "what you really want"? Can't see Rooney Mara jumping over Close, Theron, or even Olsen. Oldman is a little more understandable and I would love if that were to come true.

RichardA

Gary Oldman is so in.
Win Win will get a nod.

I agree with the TTSS's late surge. Will pick up plenty of the pretty awards.

Kristopher Tapley

Hey guys. FYI, take this conversation over to Guy's thread:

I meant to close the comments here because this will be a mainstay post for each season.

Kristopher Tapley

FYI: http://www.hitfix.com/blogs/in-contention/posts/final-oscar-nominee-predictions

Jorge

This is my ballot (right now, not final) except for editing. I just have to convince myself they are more thoughtful than that. The artist is dead last in that category, to me, and I'm buoyed by last year to think they won't vote straight ticket below the mains.

Thomas

I really don't understand how Nolan's films get recognized for achievement in the sound categories. I always find them to be an aural assault of confusing extraneous noise and soundtrack mixed so high that the combination leaves dialogue in final moments confused at best.

marshmeli

So you think Christoph will win Supporting Actor? Glad to hear that, I wasn't sure he had enough steam, but he would be my pick.

Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence

Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence.

Guy Lodge She already won? Did I sleep through the weekend?

2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Never miss a post - sign up now to get an e-mail alert whenever
In Contention is updated

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Guy Lodge predicts...

Comments

Option 1

Option 2

Option 3

Patryk Wow. No "Moneyball" or "Hugo" for Best Picture? I think both have solid and well deserved shots at a nomination. In fact, "Hugo" might actually win.

Trex DiCaprio and Close are out? Brad Pitt with two nods? Whoa. Bold predictions. Are these "what you really think" or "what you really want"? Can't see Rooney Mara jumping over Close, Theron, or even Olsen. Oldman is a little more understandable and I would love if that were to come true.

RichardA Gary Oldman is so in. Win Win will get a nod.I agree with the TTSS's late surge. Will pick up plenty of the pretty awards.

Kristopher Tapley Hey guys. FYI, take this conversation over to Guy's thread:I meant to close the comments here because this will be a mainstay post for each season.

Kristopher Tapley FYI: http://www.hitfix.com/blogs/in-contention/posts/final-oscar-nominee-predictions

Jorge This is my ballot (right now, not final) except for editing. I just have to convince myself they are more thoughtful than that. The artist is dead last in that category, to me, and I'm buoyed by last year to think they won't vote straight ticket below the mains.

Thomas I really don't understand how Nolan's films get recognized for achievement in the sound categories. I always find them to be an aural assault of confusing extraneous noise and soundtrack mixed so high that the combination leaves dialogue in final moments confused at best.

marshmeli So you think Christoph will win Supporting Actor? Glad to hear that, I wasn't sure he had enough steam, but he would be my pick.

Amanda everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence

Amanda everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence.

Guy Lodge She already won? Did I sleep through the weekend?

2012-2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Never miss a post - sign up now to get an e-mail alert whenever In Contention is updated

News From Our Partners

About HitFix

Advertise on HitFix

Subscribe to HitFix

Popular Topics

Patryk

Wow. No "Moneyball" or "Hugo" for Best Picture? I think both have solid and well deserved shots at a nomination. In fact, "Hugo" might actually win.

Trex

DiCaprio and Close are out? Brad Pitt with two nods? Whoa. Bold predictions. Are these "what you really think" or "what you really want"? Can't see Rooney Mara jumping over Close, Theron, or even Olsen. Oldman is a little more understandable and I would love if that were to come true.

RichardA

Gary Oldman is so in.
Win Win will get a nod.

I agree with the TTSS's late surge. Will pick up plenty of the pretty awards.

Kristopher Tapley

Hey guys. FYI, take this conversation over to Guy's thread:

I meant to close the comments here because this will be a mainstay post for each season.

Kristopher Tapley

FYI: http://www.hitfix.com/blogs/in-contention/posts/final-oscar-nominee-predictions

Jorge

This is my ballot (right now, not final) except for editing. I just have to convince myself they are more thoughtful than that. The artist is dead last in that category, to me, and I'm buoyed by last year to think they won't vote straight ticket below the mains.

Thomas

I really don't understand how Nolan's films get recognized for achievement in the sound categories. I always find them to be an aural assault of confusing extraneous noise and soundtrack mixed so high that the combination leaves dialogue in final moments confused at best.

marshmeli

So you think Christoph will win Supporting Actor? Glad to hear that, I wasn't sure he had enough steam, but he would be my pick.

Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence

Amanda

everyone knows who won the oscar: jennifer lawrence.

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In Contention is updated