Cannes Film Festival 2013

Analysis: Oscar continues to surprise in big and small ways

From 'Extremely Loud's' comeback to surprising omissions

Sandra Bullock in "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"
Sandra Bullock in "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close"
Credit: Warner Bros.

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Somewhere in the offices of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Oscar is fixing himself a stiff drink and thinking to himself, "You thought you knew it all. You thought I couldn't surprise you. How wrong you were."

Of course, the idea that this pundit would think there is a collective consciousness of the 5,782 Academy members manifesting itself to contemplate such thoughts is probably more of a sign of the insanely early hour AMPAS continues to insist on announcing these nominations, the high altitude of Park City, Utah or an increasingly annoying flu bug. But, I digress…  While not all my peers will agree with me, the Academy featured surprises in almost every category including some shocking omissions along the way.  There will be a lot of time to dissect the choices over the following weeks, but here are some initial thoughts on this morning's 84th Academy Awards nominations.

So much for new rules: 9 Best Picture nominations
There is no one, no one who covers the Oscars, consults or works for a major studio in the hunt that ever thought there would be nine nominees this year. The hope was for seven and the new 5% rule seemed to make that a difficult plateau to reach. Instead, the membership showed a lot of splintered support and delivered only one less nominee than the year before. Is this what the vocal minority who were against the 10 and forced the change were expecting?  Not really.  

We love "Bridesmaids," but not that much
The actors gave Melissa McCarthy a well-deserved nomination and Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo an original screenplay honor, but the blockbuster comedy couldn't crack what turned out to be a nine nominee field.  Still, would anyone have dreamed of this last June?

Really music branch? Really?

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Two original song nominations.  Just two.  One for "Man or Muppet" from "The Muppets" and the second for "Real in Rio" from "Rio." To say that the current rules for this category aren't working is a major understatement.

Lots of "(Blank) got robbed" this year

Where should we start? Albert Brooks in supporting (shame on you Academy for giving "Drive" just a sound nod), Michael Fassbender in leading actor, Tilda Swinton in leading actress, Thomas McCarthy ("Win Win") and Will Reiser ("50/50") in original screenplay, "Project Nim" in documentary (that deserves a "wow" too), Shailene Woodley in supporting actress and "Tinker Tailor" for art direction are just some of the omissions we can't wrap our heads around this morning.  On the other hand…

It's about time
No one is more ecstatic this morning than this movie fan that Gary Oldman finally got a well-deserved Oscar nod for "Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy."  Of course, the picture should have gotten in too, but it would have been a crime if Oldman delivered another stellar turn with no Oscar recognition.

Pixar and Disney get swatted
Disney and John Lasseter tried to stuff "Cars 2" down their throats in both the press and in trade ads, but the Academy's animation branch weren't intimidated and dismissed the critically lambasted Pixar film (the first not to receive a nod since the category began).  Shockingly, they also said no to the nicely rendered "Winnie the Pooh."

No love for Motion Capture yet
Not only did Andy Serkis not find himself in the best supporting actor five (admirable work Fox in trying), but "The Adventures of Tintin" couldn't land a best animated feature nomination.  The latter was the animation branch clearly rejecting Steven Spielberg and Peter Jackson's mo-cap baby while they had supported "Monster House" five years ago. This one is gonna take time.

Malick does it again with "The Tree of Life"
No major guild nominations. No major end of year best picture critics groups salutations.  And when the nominations were announced this morning, Terrence Malick's "The Tree of Life" had three nominations including best picture, best director and best cinematography.  It's 1999 all over again.

Never bet against Steven Daldry…sort of
Who does Oscar love?  Steven Daldry.  "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close" overcame mixed to negative reviews (a 46 on Metacritic) to make the top nine nominated films and provide the legendary Max Von Sydow his first second Academy Award nomination.  Of course, Daldry broke his own personal string of three best director nominations in a row ("Billy Elliott," "The Hours," "The Reader"), but he'll no doubt take these two surprise honors instead.

The year of the polarizing film (2011) reared its ugly head
"Young Adult," "Shame," "We Need to Talk About Kevin" and even "Drive" were just to much for the Academy membership to handle in any category. The organization has worked hard to bring in younger members into the fold, but conservative tastes held the line this year.  And again, in Fassbender's case in particular, it's quite a disappointing result.

What did you think of this year's Academy Awards nominations?  Share your thoughts below. Or, better sound off in our Oscars message boards.

For year round entertainment commentary and awards season news follow @HitFixGregory on Twitter.

Greg-ellwood-sm
Gregory Ellwood
Editor-in-Chief, Co-Founder
With over a decade of experience in the movie industry, Ellwood survived working for two major studios and has written for Variety, MSN and the LA Times. A co-founder of HitFix, Ellwood spends his time relaxing hitting 3’s on the basketball court and following his beloved Clippers.
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  • Default-avatar

    Rory

    I'm happy with a few things(largely concerning the Best Supporting actor), but the general level of conservatism and safeness is really irritating. I'd even view Bridesmaids and Christopher Plummer as being safe bets as the Academy had almost no choice. Swinton and Fassbender's omissions were particularly galling.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:07PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Ryan

    Sydow's 2ND nomination (Pelle the Conquerer, 1989)

    January 24, 2012 at 12:07PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Sigh. Must be the early hour and bad altitude. Noted. I should have said never won...

      January 24, 2012 at 12:28PM EST
  • Default-avatar

    AM7

    Drive not getting nominated for any major category is really, really lame.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:10PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    TJ

    I completely forgot that Gary Oldman wasn't even nominated for The Contender. Ugh. Finally is right.

    It sure seemed like the main awards skewed really mainstream. Which makes me glad War Horse got in. While it wasn't one of my absolute favorites of the year, as far as mainstream-y dramas go, I liked it much much more than Moneyball or The Help.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:20PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Mel

    disappointed with Original Song category, and Winnie the Pooh should get at least ONE nom. it's a classic!

    January 24, 2012 at 12:40PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    jcpdiesel21

    Add Michael Shannon to the list of snubs... SIGH.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:40PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Photo_15_talkback_profile

    Jordo

    Interesting trend: Sandra Bullock has now been in three (3) movies that should not have gotten a Best Picture nomination.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:42PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Good catch Jordo!

      January 24, 2012 at 2:30PM EST
    • Default-avatar

      JLPatt Wrong.

      January 24, 2012 at 4:16PM EST
    • Ah, a Crash fan. Weren't sure there were any left!

      January 24, 2012 at 5:33PM EST
    • Raylan_-_copy_talkback_profile

      Jonnybon Crash has many fans.

      January 24, 2012 at 6:19PM EST
    • Default-avatar

      Grubi Here's another one. Tho how do u know JLPLATT wasn't sticking up 4 The Blind Side? LOL.

      January 27, 2012 at 10:13PM EST
  • Default-avatar

    Marianne

    I can't believe Jonah Hill will have Academy Award nominee next to his name. I can't belive he got a nod over Fassy.

    I am happy for Rooney. That was a nice surprise for me.

    Disappointed there was no Best Screenplay nod for 50/50. It seems like the academy does not like JGL movies or something. The same thing happened with 500 Days of Summer - seemed like a shoo in for a Best Screenplay nod...and then got snubbed.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:50PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Default-avatar

      jcpdiesel21 Yeah, I can't quite get over Jonah Hill, either. Especially since he got in over Albert Brooks.

      January 24, 2012 at 1:26PM EST
    • Madmen_icon_talkback_profile

      LJA I keep laughing over the Jonah Hill nomination because it's got to be a joke, right? RIGHT?

      January 24, 2012 at 1:49PM EST
    • I can totally get behind it as he was fantastic in Moneyball

      January 24, 2012 at 2:52PM EST
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    lukevalmurray

    I’ve become desensitized to the Oscars because they’ve so often disappointed me. Personally I found this to be a reasonably respectable year, nowhere near the fiasco that was 2008. Both Drive and Warrior are my favourite films of the year, but I had a good idea of how The Academy operate so I didn’t expect any noms, which makes Nolte a pleasant surprise. Fassbender is a bit ridiculous, but lets all be happy that finally we can address Gary Oldman as “the Oscar nominated” Gary Oldman. Also delighted they veered from the norm and didn’t lick up to Pixar by justly omitting Cars 2.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:52PM EST Reply to Comment
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    silky johnson

    I am so shocked an apalled .. Tree of life over Drive ? Seriously ?.. Extremely Loud and Incredibly close being nominated is all politics. It's being nominated because it has to do with 9-11 and people are still sensitive to that subject matter. In all honesty this kind of a week year for best picture nominees.

    January 24, 2012 at 12:59PM EST Reply to Comment
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    jezzleffezzle

    Fassbender and Shailene Woodley getting snubbed are the biggest disppointments for me. Also sad that Will Reiser didn't get recognized for 50/50.

    January 24, 2012 at 1:09PM EST Reply to Comment
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      Silky Johnson 50-50 and Drive got snubbed the most this year .. Drive is one of the best movies of the year

      January 24, 2012 at 1:26PM EST
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    Zoe Zaftig

    With the snubs of Fassbender/Swinton/Theron, only half of the participants in this year's Newsweek Oscar roundtable were nominated.

    January 24, 2012 at 1:39PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Raylan_-_copy_talkback_profile

    Jonnybon

    "There is no one, no one who covers the Oscars, consults or works for a major studio in the hunt that ever thought there would be nine nominees this year."

    That is just not true.

    January 24, 2012 at 1:51PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Oh Jonny.

      January 24, 2012 at 2:30PM EST
    • Raylan_-_copy_talkback_profile

      Jonnybon Oh, Greg... "...just to much for the Academy..."

      January 24, 2012 at 4:43PM EST
    • Raylan_-_copy_talkback_profile

      Jonnybon (why do you hate the word "too" so much?)

      January 24, 2012 at 4:47PM EST
  • Default-avatar

    Ike

    I disagree strongly with Ellwood that Tinker Tailor should have been nominated. Terribly disappointing movie. Very low-energy, poorly directed. Complex tangled plots usually appeal to me, but this was just a disjointed hash. Completely incomprehensible to anyone who hasn't read the book or seen the BBC miniseries. And I'm not that crazy about Oldman's performance either -- I normally love him, but he was subtle to a fault -- he nearly vanished right off the screen. Toby Jones and other great actors were completely wasted. I think two hours just isn't enough time to tell the story.

    January 24, 2012 at 2:21PM EST Reply to Comment
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    JLPatt

    Von Sydow's first nomination in 23 years. Glenn Close's first nomination in 23 years. Woody Allen's first nomination for Best Director in 17 years. Terrence Malick's first in 13 years. Welcome back, guys!

    January 24, 2012 at 4:15PM EST Reply to Comment
  • Default-avatar

    Scott

    The real reason Extremely Loud got in is probably not the name "Stephen Daldry" but rather the name of "Scott Rudin", who was the producer.

    January 24, 2012 at 5:12PM EST Reply to Comment
    • Wait - us that you Scott?

      January 24, 2012 at 5:34PM EST

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