We've reached that point in the season where one has to actually keep a diary to remember which precursor announcements are landing on which days -- as far as the guilds go, the actors, producers, writers, art directors and now the directors have all had their say, while the American Society of Cinematographers will join their ranks tomorrow.
I'd like to say I'm anticipating a surprise or two, but Best Cinematography is rapidly starting to feel like the most cemented of the craft categories. At least three of the five slots are spoken for, with a couple of ubiquitous titles jostling to fill the other two. The odds don't favor an exotic and/or pulpy interloper like "House of Flying Daggers" or "The Black Dahlia" making things a little more interesting this year.
"The Tree of Life," "Hugo" and "The Artist" all seem comfortably locked in for nominations from both the Guild and the Academy, with the eventual winner likely coming from that trio. A week ago, I might have said the same for "War Horse," but Steven Spielberg's lavish WWI epic is performing so dismally with the guilds thus far that I wouldn't be entirely surprised if it missed the cut tomorrow. Still, Janusz Kaminski is an industry favorite and the film's rampant (if peculiarly lit) pictorialism is catnip in this department: I'm not going to bet against it just yet.