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Awards Campaign 2009


Inside Awards Season with Gregory Ellwood

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    Will 'Breaking Dawn's' director be an Oscar winner?

    Dakota Fanning's Volturi vampire Jane will have a substantial role in "Breaking Dawn."

    Credit: Summit Entertainment

    While half of Hollywood continues to watch in amusement as Marvel Studios' casting call for "Captain America" becomes a daily public relations debacle of the first order, the remaining chunk are keeping a close eye on how Summit Entertainment will handle the expected final installment in the "Twilight Saga": "Breaking Dawn."

    Because the franchise has become a massive moneymaker for the mini-major, it's generally assumed the final book in Stephenie Meyer's vampire series will be divided into two films.  It's a strategy Warner Bros. is also using for the last Harry Potter novel, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows."  The company also has a pretty well-known time frame to shoot the two-parter this fall and winter as stars Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson and Taylor Lautner have blocked out their schedules for it.  What has become a much more intriguing question is who will helm the final two installments?
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    Kristen Stewart in "Welcome to the Rileys"

    Forget "Twilight," Kristen Stewart is now got an Oscar player with "Welcome to the Rileys."

    Credit: Apparition

    It's only been a week since the 82nd Academy Awards, but studios and distributors alike are already planning which films will be positioned as awards contenders for the next awards season.  It's not that the companies behind these films think they are all true Oscar contenders, hardly, but that the "prestige" label will help generate publicity and box office.  One relatively new outfit, Apparition, had strong box office in 2009 for two films that were never real players: Jane Campion's "Bright Star" and the Emily Blunt period piece "The Young Victoria."  Now, the Bob Berney and Bill Pohlad company is primed to play the game once more with the Sundance drama "Welcome to the Rileys."
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    Idina Menzel in the stage sensation "Wicked"

    Original "Wicked" star and Tony Award winner Idina Menzel as Elphaba, better known as the Wicked Witch of the West.

    Credit: Universal Pictures

    The most intriguing result of the massive success of "Alice in Wonderland" is the ripple effect it's had on other projects in Hollywood.  The movie industry is ruled by trends and after "Alice" and "Avatar's" success, 3-D four-quadrant visual extravaganzas are a priority for every studio in town.  One classic tale with cues to "Alice" that two companies are already jumping on is none other than "The Wizard of Oz. "

    Just a decade ago it would have been blasphemy to suggest remaking an "Oz" similar in tone and title to the 1939 Judy Garland classic.  Sure, there was the African-American musical "The Wiz" (which bombed in theaters) and 1985's "Return to Oz" (another bomb), but no one has truly remade the signature L. Frank Baum story onscreen.  That may soon change as both Disney and Warner Bros. have numerous "Oz" projects at their disposal.

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    Oscar winners Mark Boal and Geoffrey Fletcher at the 82nd Academy Awards Govenor's Ball.

    Awards Campaign correctly predicted "The Hurt Locker's" Mark Boal win for Best Original Screenplay, but like many others, was stunned to see Geoffrey Fletcher of "Precious" upset "Up in the Air's Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner for Best Adapted Screenplay.

    Credit: AP Photo/Chris Pizzello

    After a few days to take in all the Oscar madness and find our bearings, this pundit is ready to face the music on his 82nd Academy Award predictions. 

    To be honest, this wasn't a great year. 16 out of 24 isn't horrible, but it's this Oscar watcher's worse record in sometime. However, among the more prominent categories only Best Picture and Best Adapted Screenplay (a shocker for almost every Academy Award expert out there) provided unexpected results. Why? Quite frankly, it was the shorts and sound that did me in. 

    Predicting the short-form contenders is never easy, but usually foreshadowing two out of the three has been something I pride myself in.  Not this year.  And sound? Well, if you went with the theory that "Avatar" was going to be justly rewarded by the Academy in the technical categories it just made sense.  Instead, the industry showed just how much it respected and loved Kathryn Bigelow's "The Hurt Locker" instead.
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    The entire Hurt Locker team onstage for Best Picture

    A memorable moment from the 82nd Oscars: stars Jeremy Renner, Brian Geraghty and Anthony Mackie hug while director and producer Kathryn Bigelow goes to speak after "The Hurt Locker" wins best picture with screenwriter and co-producer Mark Boal at her side.

    Credit: AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill

    Another awards season has come to a close and boy has it been a long one.  As we soak in "The Hurt Locker's" David vs. Goliath win over "Avatar," one of the more disjointed award shows in recent memory and Sandra Bullock's ascension to Oscar-winning actress, it's time to circle back and review some of the major lessons learned over the past seven months on the awards circuit.

    Awards bait movies can make money without a Best Picture nod or big wins
    It's a rich tradition for studio heads to publicly complain about the expenses of an Oscar campaign and how unprofitable prestige pictures can be.  Well, like NBA or MLB owners who are at fault for overpaying players within their sport's own rules, studio moguls have long had themselves to blame for overspending when a campaign is out of reach or indulging in extravagant budgets for pictures that could be made at half the price.  With the new economic realities hitting Hollywood over the past two years, that's all starting to change.  Now, Sony Pictures Classics has worked this successful model for years on a small scale, but this year five other contenders played the game and all came way with the green if not gold.  Paramount's "Up in the Air" got snubbed at the Oscars, but the $25 million dramedy is already in the black with $153 million worldwide.  Fox Searchlight's "Crazy Heart" was made for an amazing $7 million and should pass the $30 million mark this week. Lionsgate's "Precious" was picked up for around $10 million  and has grossed $47 million before hitting DVD. Apparition had two profitable pick ups with both "Bright Star" and "The Young Victoria" which grossed $4 million and $10 million respectively.  Now, there are always going to be some roadkill along the way ("Nine," "Invictus," "Amelia," "The Lovely Bones") but you can still succeed with prestige if you do it right.
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  • Live blogging the 82nd Academy Awards

    Posted on Sunday, Mar 7, 2010 By Gregory Ellwood
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    Tina Fey and Robert Downey Jr present at the 82nd Academy Awards.

    The best presenters of the Oscars so far? Tina Fey and Robert Downey, jr. Hands down.

    Credit: AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill

    It's time, after all the drama, all the intrigue, all the scheming, the millions spent, the 82nd Academy Awards are finally here.  Will "Avatar" or "The Hurt Locker" rule the night?  Can someone upset Sandra Bullock for Best Actress?  Let's sit back and enjoy the wonders of when Adam Shankman and Bill Mechanic produce the Oscars.

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    Oscar statues outside the 82nd Academy Awards at the Kodak Theater in Hollywood, CA.

    Oscar statues outside the 82nd Academy Awards at the Kodak Theater in Hollywood, CA.

    Credit: AP Photo/Amy Sancetta

    It's finally here, Oscar Sunday.  The current award season technically stars each August with a kick off during the Toronto and Telluride Film Festivals, but this one seemed a bit longer with all the players from the 2009 Sundance Film Festival in the mix.  And considering "Hurt Locker's" impressive June debut and "Avatar's" amazing journey which hit a bump during last July's Comic-Con, it's been almost non-stop. Plus, the extra weeks because of the Olympics didn't necessarily provide anyone with any relief.  In fact, running into some of Awards Campaigns talented peers Friday night at the Independent Spirit Awards including Kris Tapley (In Contention), Pete Hammond (The Envelope), Anne Thompson (Thompson On Hollywood) and David Poland (Movie City News) there was certainly a sense of utter exhaustion (such troubles, I know).
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    Avatar versus Hurt Locker for Oscar's Best Picture

    The battle between "The Hurt Locker" and "Avatar" for Best Picture will finally end on Oscar Sunday.

    Credit: Summit Entertainment/20th Century Fox

    It's hard to believe that at one time during this extended awards season "Nine" was the frontrunner for Best Picture (especially after everyone finally saw it).  And then it was a seemingly invincible run for Jason Reitman's "Up in the Air," but even that bubble burst before had barely started.  And now?  The 82nd Academy Awards will feature a long night of back and forth wins as "Avatar" and "The Hurt Locker" line up for an epic David vs. Goliath showdown for Best Picture.  
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    Nick Park's "Wallace and Gromit in 'A Matter of Loaf and Death'"

    Nick Park's "Wallace and Gromit in 'A Matter of Loaf and Death'" is the frontrunner for Best Animated Short.

    We're guessing if you are a hardcore Oscar fan, when you come in second or third place in your Oscar pool to that intern who just lucikly "guessed" the best  to win the big pot you wanted to pull your hair out.  Awards Campaign is also pretty sure it was the Animated, Live Action and Documentary Short categories that ruined your predictions.  Well, never fear, if there is anything this pundit usually gets right it's the short categories.  Sound Editing and Mixing? We'll that's another issue entirely...
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    Sandra Bullock, Best Actress, "The Blind Side"

    Sandra Bullock has fun at the annual Oscar luncheon for the 82nd Academy Awards nominees.

    Credit: AP Photo/Matt Sayles

    Meryl Streep is a loser.  Yes, it's true.  America's greatest living actress is a certifiable loser and no, it's not at the box office where she's become a powerhouse in the 21st Century, but at the annual event that should be her shrine: the Academy Awards. 

    After this year, the two-time winner will have lost at the Oscars 12 straight times since 1984.  That's a horribly depressing stat considering her performances in films such as "Silkwood," "Out of Africa, "The Bridges of Madison County," "Adaptation" and "Doubt" are in that mix.  And still, no third Oscar for the beloved Streep on Sunday night.  Instead, it appears Sandra Bullock's comeback year will be capped off with a stunning win for her role in the unexpected blockbuster "The Blind Side."  How is this possible?  Well, it's complicated.
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About Awards Campaign 2009

  • With over a decade of experience in the movie industry, Ellwood survived working for two major studios, launched the Hollywood Hitlist on MSN Movies and revamped The Envelope for the 07-08 season. A co-founder of HitFix, Ellwood spends his time relaxing on the basketball court. And even at his advanced age, can still hit a clutch 3 and keep up with those youngin's on the defensive end.