Who will be this year's 'Avatar,' Sandra Bullock, 'Glee' and 'Mad Men'?
Yes, it's that time of year again. A time in Hollywood where the worlds of movies and television become one thanks to the incredible magic of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association. Whether the HFPA's 68th Annual Golden Globe Awards are really a bellwether for the more prestigious Academy Awards honestly depends on the year. This season? Not so much, but it's an excellent opportunity for stars from the big, small and even smaller screens to celebrate each other's work, drink and be merry.
(Well, at least until a little over two weeks from now when they do it all over again at the SAG Awards.)
As in past years, the battle for best picture has come down to the power and influence of two men: uber producer Scott Rudin and longtime awards maestro Harvey Weinstein. With "True Grit" bizarrely left in the cold having received zero nominations, Rudin is pushing his critics' wonder "The Social Network." On the other side of the battle field, Weinstein is firmly behind this year's audience favorite, "The King's Speech." Occasional collaborators ("never say never" with these two), but usual competitors, the New York based movie men are two of the fiercest awards season campaigners around. And when there are only 80 or so voters for the Globes to influence as opposed to approximately 6,000 for the Oscars? Well, we'd suggest getting out of the way of their crosshairs.
The TV categories are always incredibly difficult for even the most seasoned television experts to pick. That's mostly because a majority of the HFPA voters cover the movies and not TV, but since they can all vote for the winners it leads to some interesting and sometimes perplexing picks. In theory, acclaimed shows such as "Modern Family" and "Mad Men" should dominate the winner's circle. This Sunday evening, however, that might not be the case.
With that in mind, check out this pundit's predictions for the 68th Annual Golden Globes.
Best Picture - Drama
"The King's Speech"
"The Social Network"
Winner: "The Social Network"
Upset Contenders: "The King's Speech"
Lowdown: If you speak to some HFPA watchers they will tell you that "Network" is going to win. If you speak to other HFPA watchers they will tell you that "Speech" will win because Harvey Weinstein knows how to schmooze them better than anyone else in town. It's close for sure, but when it all comes down to it, more than anything, the HFPA do not like to be embarrassed. And considering almost all the other critic's groups in the country have picked "Network" for best picture. They should do the same.
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
"Alice in Wonderland"
"The Kids are Alright"
Winner: "The Kids Are All Right"
Upset Contenders: "Alice in Wonderland"
Lowdown: A pretty dreadful list of contenders with "Kids" being the only worthy awards picture in the bunch. However, word is the HFPA love "Alice in Wonderland" and there is a very slim chance they go with Disney's $1 billion dollar hit.
Best Actor - Drama
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network"
Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
James Franco, "127 Hours"
Ryan Gosling, "Blue Valentine"
Mark Wahlberg, "The Fighter"
Winner: Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
Upset Contenders: Jesse Eisenberg, "Social Network" or James Franco, "127 Hours"
Lowdown: If you're an HFPA member and voting "Network" for picture you have to make sure to reward "King's Speech" and this is where the organization tries to make everyone happy. The very deserving Firth is pretty much a lock here, but if the "Network" love is legit, Eisenberg could sneak in or their longtime admiration for Franco could find him an unexpected winner as well.
Best Actress - Drama
Halle Berry, "Frankie and Alice"
Nicole Kidman, "The Rabbit Hole"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Michelle Williams, "Blue Valentine"
Winner: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Upset Contenders: None
Lowdown: This is pretty much set in stone. The HFPA adore Kidman, but did not like "Rabbit Hole." That pretty much seals the deal for Portman.
Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
Johnny Depp, "Alice in Wonderland"
Johnny Depp, "The Tourist"
Paul Giamatti, "Barney's Version"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Love and Other Drugs"
Kevin Spacey, "Casino Jack"
Winner: Johnny Depp, "Alice in Wonderland"
Upset Contenders: Paul Giamatti, "Barney's Version" or Kevin Spacey, "Casino Jack"
Lowdown: Another miserable category this year, but it does allow the HFPA to reward Johnny Depp one more time (he's got nine nominations and only one win so far). If for some reason Depp doesn't win, it will be because there was more support for Giamatti or Spacey than expected. Like, a lot more.
Best Actress - Musical or Comedy
Annette Bening, "The Kids Are Alright"
Anne Hathaway, "Love and Other Drugs"
Angelina Jolie, "The Tourist"
Emma Stone, "Easy A"
Julianne Moore, "The Kids Are Alright"
Winner: Annette, Bening, "The Kids Are Alright"
Upset Contenders: Julianne Moore, "The Kids Are All Right," Anne Hathaway, "Love and Other Drugs"
Lowdown: Pretty much Bening's to lose. Anne Hathaway is the biggest competition, but the members were not big fans of "Love and Other Drugs" (as evidenced by the dramedy not making the Best Picture - Musical or Comedy category).
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Mila Kunis, "Black Swan"
Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"
Winner: Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Upset Contenders: Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"
Lowdown: Awarding the Globe to Leo allows the HFPA to reward "The Fighter," which they are big fans of. Weaver would be the only nominee who could really surprise here.
Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Michael Douglas, "Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps"
Andrew Garfield, "The Social Network"
Jeremy Renner, "The Town"
Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"
Winner: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Upset Contenders: Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"
Lowdown: As much as they'd like to sympathetically bring cancer survivor Douglas to the stage (which would make for great TV by the way), it's going to be hard for them to ignore Bale. Again, they don't like to be embarrassed. 80 people can form one pretty insecure group.
Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
Christopher Nolan, "Inception"
David O. Russell, "The Fighter"
Winner: David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Upset Contenders: Christopher Nolan, "Inception"
Lowdown: Fincher will win, but if there is a prevailing feeling monster hit "Inception" needs more recognition, Nolan could sneak in.
Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy, "127 Hours"
Lisa Cholodenko, "The Kids are Alright"
Christopher Nolan, "Inception"
David Sieber, "The King's Speech"
Aaron Sorkin, "The Social Network"
Winner: Aaron Sorkin, "The Social Network"
Upset Contenders: Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy, "127 Hours"
Lowdown: Pretty much a slam dunk for the former "West Wing" creator, but the HFPA also loved "127 Hours" and Boyle in particular. This may be the only category where they can recognize the picture.
Best Animated Feature
"How to Train Your Dragon"
"Toy Story 3"
Winner: "Toy Story 3"
Upset Contenders: Um, no.
Lowdown: Just book it. Although we wouldn't want to be anywhere near the Disney/Pixar table if DreamWorks' "How to Train Your Dragon" wins instead.
Best Foreign Language Film
"I Am Love"
"In a Better World"
Winner: "I Am Love"
Upset Contenders: "The Concert"
Lowdown: Tougher call than in previous years, but critical acclaim and Tilda Swinton's amazing performance should bring "I Am Love" the statue. However, the Weinstein's "The Concert" could be a possible upset player here too.
Best Original Song
"Bound to You," "Burlesque"
"Coming Home," "Country Song"
"I See the Light," "Tangled"
"There's a Place For Us," "Dawn Treader"
"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," "Burlesque"
Winner: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," "Burlesque"
Upset Contenders: "I See the Light," "Tangled"
Lowdown: "You Haven't" songwriter Diane Warren was repped by longtime publicist Ronni Chasen who was murdered last month in an attack that left most of Hollywood in severe shock. Add in the Cher factor and only "I See the Light" could upset the "Burlesque" ballad.
Best Original Score
Alexandre Desplat, "The King's Speech"
Danny Elfman, "Alice in Wonderland"
AR Rahman, "127 Hours"
Hans Zimmer, ""Inception"
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, "The Social Network"
Winner: Hans Zimmer, "Inception"
Upset Contenders: Alexandre Desplat, "The King's Speech"
Lowdown: One of the few places they can reward "Inception." It's also quite deserving and Zimmer was also a client of Chasen's (it sounds callous, but sometimes it's just how these things work out).
Best TV Series - Drama
"The Good Wife"
"The Walking Dead"
Winner: "Boardwalk Empire"
Upset Contenders: "Mad Men"
Lowdown: The HFPA love Martin Scorsese. The HFPA love HBO. As good as "Mad Men" was last season, the new kid on the "Boardwalk" should take home the gold Sunday night.
Best Actor in a TV Series - Drama
Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire"
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"
Hugh Laurie, "House"
Winner: Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire"
Upset Contenders: Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"
Lowdown: Rule #1 when predicting HFPA TV voting: If there's a movie star in the field it's a good bet they're gonna win. Why? Well, most of the membership don't cover television, but just film. So, when they get a chance to vote for all the categories they tend to go with what they know. That usually leads to some classy, if not surprising picks. In this case, Buscemi over previous winners Jon Hamm and Michael C. Hall.
Best Actress in a TV Series - Drama
Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
Elisabeth Moss, "Mad Men"
Piper Perabo, "Covert Affairs"
Katey Sagal, "Sons of Anarchy"
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"
Winner: Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
Upset Contenders: Elisabeth Moss, "Mad Men"
Lowdown: In an even less competitive category than last year Margulies wins again.
Best TV Series - Comedy
"The Big Bang Theory"
"The Big C"
Upset Contenders: "Modern Family," "30 Rock," "The Big Bang Theory"
Lowdown: It's close between "Glee" and "Modern Family," but we just think the HFPA can't get enough of those singing and dancing teenagers.
Best Actress in a TV Series - Comedy
Toni Collette, "The United States of Tara"
Edie Falco, "Nurse Jackie"
Tina Fey, "30 Rock"
Laura Linney, "The Big C"
Lea Michele, "Glee"
Winner: Laura Linney, "The Big C"
Upset Contenders: Toni Collette, "The United States of Tara" or Tina Fey, "30 Rock"
Lowdown: If you follow the HFPA's unspoken movie star rule then Linney or Collette should win. We think being the new kid on the Showtime block gives Linney the edge.
Best Actor in a TV Series - Comedy
Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"
Steve Carell, "The Office"
Thomas Jane, "Hung"
Matthew Morrison, "Glee"
Jim Parsons, "The Big Bang Theory"
Winner: Jim Parsons, "The Big Bang Theory"
Upset Contenders: Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"
Lowdown: Are the HFPA really going to honor Baldwin for the fourth time in five years for this role? It makes more sense that Parsons breaks through and duplicates his Emmy win.
Best Supporting Actor - Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for TV
Scott Caan, "Hawaii Five-0"
Chris Colfer, "Glee"
Chris Noth, "The Good Wife"
Eric Stonestreet, "Modern Family"
David Strathairn, "Temple Grandin"
Winner: Chris Colfer, "Glee"
Upset Contenders: Eric Stonestreet, "Modern Family" or David Strathairn, "Temple Grandin"
Lowdown: Here's the thing, somebody's got to be the first group to recognize Colfer. We say the HFPA are that group. Just a hunch.
Best Supporting Actress - Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for TV
Hope Davis, "The Special Relationship"
Jane Lynch, "Gee"
Kelly MacDonald, "Boardwalk Empire"
Julia Stiles, "Dexter"
Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family"
Winner: Kelly MacDonald, "Boardwalk Empire"
Upset Contenders: Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family" or Jane Lynch, "Glee"
Lowdown: We're taking the "Boardwalk" train and going with Kelly MacDonald. It's a hunch, but we'd also not be surprised if Lynch repeated her Emmy win here.
Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for TV
"Pillars of the Earth"
"You Don't Know Jack"
Winner: "The Pacific"
Upset Contenders: "Carlos" or "You Don't Know Jack"
Lowdown: Let's be clear, the HFPA may love "Carlos" and it's a credit to the organization's overall taste that it made the cut, but they do not want to embarrass "Pacific" producers Tom Hanks and Steven Spielberg. It's that simple.
Best Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for TV
Hayley Atwell, "Pillars of the Earth"
Claire Danes, "Temple Grandin"
Judi Dench, "Return to Cranford"
Romola Garai, "Emma"
Jennifer Love Hewitt, "The Client List"
Winner: Claire Danes, "Temple Grandin"
Upset Contenders: Um, no.
Lowdown: Just book it (and she's winning the SAG Award for this one too).
Best Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for TV
Idris Elba, "Luther"
Ian McShane, "Pillars of the Earth"
Al Pacino, "You Don't Know Jack"
Dennis Quaid, "The Special Relationship"
Edgar Ramirez, "Carlos"
Winner: Al Pacino, "You Don't Know Jack"
Upset Contenders: Edgar Ramirez, "Carlos"
Lowdown: Former Cecil B. DeMille and 14-time nominee and two-time winner Pacino should repeat his Emmy Award win here. However, there is a slight chance Ramirez upsets so the HFPA can claim they were one of the few orgs to actually recognize "Carlos" in some way.
Have you entered HitFix's Golden Globes Awards Pool yet? You have until Sunday, January 15 at 3 PM EST, 12 Noon PST. The winner receives a brand new Flip Ultra HD video camera. You can also download a printable ballot of all the nominees for your own party or work pool here.
Who do you think is going to win at the Golden Globes this year? Share your thoughts below.
'Animal Kingdom' star thrilled for Jacki Weaver's kudos
Throughout the numerous film festivals, Q&A's, industry functions and special awards season events that have become routine for "The King's Speech" team over the past few months, one key member of the cast has been missing, Guy Pearce. Now, Colin Firth, Geoffrey Rush and Helena Bonham Carter have obviously deserved their praise as the major players in Tom Hooper's acclaimed drama, but it's Pearce's role as the overly sensitive King Edward VII that is the catalyst for the rise of his brother -- and eventual successor - King George VI (Firth). And to be quite frank, Pearce is so good he'd be getting a lot more awards heat if had been around on the circuit (say, like Mila Kunis for "Black Swan").
A first timer will win the directing honor this year
It's hard to believe, but acclaimed documentary filmmakers Charles Ferguson, Alex Gibney and Davis Guggenheim have never been honored by their peers in the Director's Guild of America. That's about to change. The three filmmakers join Lixian Fan ("Last Train Home") and Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger ("Restrepo") as this year's DGA Award nominees for outstanding direction in a documentary film. In fact, of the three only Gibney had been nominated before. Guggenheim was passed over for "An Inconvienent Truth" and Fergueson for "No End in Sight." In any event, this could be a very similar list to what this year's documentary nominees end up being. Unless Banksy's "Exit through the Gift Shop" makes it which we'll believe it when we see it.
A complete list of this year's nominees are as follows:
LIXIN FANâ€¨ - "Last Train Home"â€¨
This is Mr. Fan's first DGA Award nomination.
CHARLES FERGUSONâ€¨ - "Inside Job"â€¨
This is Mr. Ferguson's first DGA Award nomination.
ALEX GIBNEY - â€¨"Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer"â€¨
This is Mr. Gibney's second DGA Award nomination. He was previously nominated in this same category for Taxi to the Dark Side in 2007.
DAVIS GUGGENHEIMâ€¨ - "Waiting for 'Superman'"â€¨
Mr. Guggenheim's Directorial Team:
Unit Production Manager: Shari Tavey
This is Mr. Guggenheim's first DGA Award nomination.
TIM HETHERINGTON AND SEBASTIAN JUNGERâ€¨ - "Restrepo"â€¨
This is the first DGA Award nomination for Mr. Hetherington and Mr. Junger.
The 63rd Annual DGA Awards Dinner on Saturday, January 29, 2011 at the Grand Ballroom at Hollywood & Highland in Los Angeles.
New program will try to take bite out of competitors
It looks like ABC and AMPAS have just about enough of E!, CNN, TV Guide Network and the likes cramping up the red carpet before the Academy Awards. AMPAS announced today that the 30-minute pre-show, which has run from 8 PM ET/ 5 PM PT for the past decade or so, will now be expanded to 90 minutes and begin at 7 PM ET/ 4 PM PT. Charlie Haykel and Juliane Hare will executive produce the extended red carpet extravaganza.
'The King's Speech' and 'Social Network' also in the running
'True Grit,' 'Alice in Wonderland' also in contention
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced the seven finalists for the best makeup Oscar this afternoon with some eyebrow raising contenders. Listed in alphabetical order, the remaining contenders include:
“Alice in Wonderland”
“The Way Back”
On Saturday, January 22, all members of the Academy’s Makeup Branch will be invited to view 10-minute excerpts from each of the seven shortlisted films. Following the screenings, members will vote to nominate three films for final Oscar consideration.
Considering the costly losses associated with "Jonah Hex" and "The Wolfman" for Warner Bros. and Universal Pictures respectively, something suggests they wouldn't mind it if neither made the final cut.
The final three nominees will be announced on Oscar nomination morning Tuesday, Jan. 25 at 8:30 AM EST/ 5:30 AM PST.
'Halo Reach' and 'World of Warcraft' top video game nods
The Visual Effects Society announced the nominees for the 9th Annual VES Awards this morning and as expected, "Inception" and "Tron: Legacy" lead the way among the movie nominees. Television were surprisingly dominated by "Boardwalk Empire" and "The Pacific" with five and three nods respectively. Animated features are spread out across the board with multiple nominations for "Tangled," "How To Train Your Dragon," "Shrek Forever After" and "Toy Story 3." "World of Warcraft" and "Halo: Reach" were the top honorees in the video game categories.
Update: David O. Russell's emotional reaction
The Director's Guild of America announced their 2010 nominees for Outstanding Direction of a Feature Film his morning and there were no major surprises. Darren Aronofsky ("Black Swan"), Christopher Nolan ("Inception"), David Fincher ("The Social Network"), Tom Hooper ("The King's Speech") and David O. Russell ("The Fighter") are this year's honorees. Danny Boyle ("127 Hours") and Joel and Ethan Coen ("True Grit") were the only other legitimate players for a nomination.
[Update: In separate statements, both Nolan and Russell commented on their DGA nods.
Nolan remarked, ""I'm thrilled that the DGA membership has chosen to nominate me and my DGA team (Jan Foster, Nilo Otero, Brandon Lambdin, Greg Pawlik, Lauren Pasternack) for our work on 'Inception.' The recognition of our peers is extremely gratifying - this is an incredible honor."
Russell was a tad more emotional noting, "“When Taylor Hackford called me this morning I have to admit I started to cry . I am so humbled because it is such a talented field this year, I had prepared myself to not be part of it. To be recognized by my peers, moves me beyond words with gratitude and humility. Like boxing, our business doesn't always give second chances. I'm eternally grateful to Mark Wahlberg for bringing me into this very special project about truly inspiring people like Micky Ward, Dick Eklund, and the families of Lowell; as I am grateful to producers David Hoberman, Ryan Kavanaugh, Todd Lieberman, the phenomenal cast, Paramount, Relativity, and the members of the DGA.”]
On Lebowski: 'I'm partial, but that is a good movie'
Could one documentary change the expected outcome of this year's best actor race? Probably not, but the season premiere of PBS' "American Masters," which focuses on Jeff Bridges, will make it hard for Academy members to not vote for the cinematic icon once more.
Jesse Eisenberg wins best actor and David Fincher director
Showing little appetite to deviate from their fellow critic's groups, The National Society of Critics announced their year end awards in New York today and "The Social Network" was the big winner. David Fincher's drama won best picture, best director and best actor for Jesse Eisenberg.
In something of a surprise, "Vincere" star Giovanna Mezzogiorno won best actress. Geoffrey Rush won best supporting actor for "The King's Speech" and Olivia Williams best supporting actress for "The Ghost Writer."
THe NSFC is made up of approximately 60 critics from across the country including well known names such as Roger Ebert, the LA Times' Kenneth Turan, Time's Richard Corliss, EW's Lisa Schwarzbaum, Newsweek's David Ansen and the Wall Street Journal's Joe Morgenstern. The entire membership is listed here.